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Cogent Biosciences (Cogent Biosciences) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $ (As of Apr. 30, 2024)


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What is Cogent Biosciences Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-04-30), Cogent Biosciences's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Cogent Biosciences's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Cogent Biosciences is

The historical rank and industry rank for Cogent Biosciences's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

COGT's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Biotechnology industry.
Industry Median: 2.09
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Cogent Biosciences Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Cogent Biosciences's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Cogent Biosciences Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Cogent Biosciences Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
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Cogent Biosciences Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
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Competitive Comparison of Cogent Biosciences's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Cogent Biosciences's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cogent Biosciences's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Cogent Biosciences's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cogent Biosciences's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



Cogent Biosciences Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.64%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = %
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Cogent Biosciences's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=*
=

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= ( - 6.71) /

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Cogent Biosciences  (NAS:COGT) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Cogent Biosciences Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Cogent Biosciences's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Cogent Biosciences (Cogent Biosciences) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
275 Wyman Street, 3rd Floor, Waltham, MA, USA, 02451
Cogent Biosciences Inc a biotechnology company focused on developing precision therapies for genetically defined diseases. It designs rational precision therapies that treat the underlying cause of disease and improve the lives of patients. Its program CGT9486, is a selective tyrosine kinase inhibitor designed to potently inhibit the KIT D816V mutation as well as other mutations in KIT exon 17. In the vast majority of cases, KIT D816V is responsible for driving Systemic Mastocytosis (SM), a serious disease caused by the unchecked proliferation of mast cells. Exon 17 mutations are also found in patients with advanced gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GIST), a type of cancer with strong dependence on oncogenic KIT signaling.
Executives
Fairmount Funds Management Llc 10 percent owner, other: See Remarks 200 BARR HARBOR DRIVE, SUITE 400, WEST CONSHOHOCKEN PA 19428
Evan Kearns officer: Chief Legal Officer AGENUS INC., 3 FORBES ROAK, LEXINGTON MA 02421
John L. Green officer: Chief Financial Officer MERRIMACK PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., ONE KENDALL SQUARE, SUITE B7201, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
John Edward Robinson officer: Chief Scientific Officer C/O COGENT BIOSCIENCES, INC., 200 CAMBRIDGE PARK DRIVE, SUITE 2500, CAMBRIDGE MA 02140
Christopher W. Cain director 2001 MARKET STREET, SUITE 2500, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Peter Evan Harwin director 2001 MARKET STREET, SUITE 2500, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Arlene Morris director C/O AFFYMAX, INC., 4001 MIRANDA AVE., PALO ALTO CA 94304
Todd Shegog director 200 SIDNEY STREET, SUITE 320, C/O SYNLOGIC, INC., CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Jessica Sachs officer: Chief Medical Officer C/O UNUM THERAPEUTICS INC., 200 CAMBRIDGE PARK DRIVE, CAMBRIDGE MA 02140
Matthew Ros director C/O EPIZYME, INC., 400 TECHNOLOGY SQUARE, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Karen Jean Ferrante director 150 ADIRONDACK DRIVE, EAST GREENWICH RI 02818
Andrew R Robbins director, officer: President and CEO C/O 3200 WALNUT ST, BOULDER CO 80301
Venrock Healthcare Capital Partners Iii, L.p. 10 percent owner 530 FIFTH AVENUE, 22ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Vhcp Management Iii, Llc 10 percent owner 7 BRYANT PARK, 23RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10018
Vhcp Management Ii, Llc 10 percent owner 7 BRYANT PARK, 23RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10018

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