COGT (Cogent Biosciences) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $-6.49 (As of Sep. 12, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

COGT Cogent Biosciences Inc COGT
28 GF Score
Price $33.41
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Cogent Biosciences Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Cogent Biosciences COGT -1.98% 28 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-6.49 as of Sep. 12, 2026. GuruFocus rates COGT with a GF Score™ of 28/100. The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 258 Biotechnology companies, Cogent Biosciences ranks worse than 387596.51% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-09-12), Cogent Biosciences's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-6.49. The stock price of Cogent Biosciences is $33.41. Therefore, Cogent Biosciences's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Cogent Biosciences's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

COGT's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Biotechnology industry.
Industry Median: 2.175
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Cogent Biosciences  (NAS:COGT) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Cogent Biosciences's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=33.41/-6.4880871743345
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Cogent Biosciences Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Cogent Biosciences Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Cogent Biosciences's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Cogent Biosciences Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Cogent Biosciences Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -4.04 -5.66 -6.87 -5.33

Cogent Biosciences Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -8.72 -6.99 -5.33 -5.81 -6.49

COGT vs ORKA, MIRM, DNTH: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Cogent Biosciences's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cogent Biosciences Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Cogent Biosciences's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cogent Biosciences's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


COGT
28GF Score
Cogent Biosciences Inc COGT
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Cogent Biosciences Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Cogent Biosciences's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-161.28.

Cogent Biosciences's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-161.27616+532.388*0.8)/171.005
=-6.49

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $-6.49 mean?
Cogent Biosciences (COGT) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $-6.49 as of Sep. 12, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Cogent Biosciences and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Cogent Biosciences ranks #999999 out of 258 companies in the Biotechnology industry.
Is Cogent Biosciences' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Cogent Biosciences' current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-6.49. Based on the distribution chart, Cogent Biosciences ranks #999999 out of 258 companies in the Biotechnology industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Cogent Biosciences has a GF Score™ of 28/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Cogent Biosciences' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to ORKA and MIRM?
According to the Biotechnology industry distribution chart, Cogent Biosciences ranks #999999 out of 258 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Cogent Biosciences in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.18. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Biotechnology company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Biotechnology companies is 2.18, based on 258 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Cogent Biosciences and its competitors. For the Biotechnology industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.18 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Cogent Biosciences's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-6.49. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Cogent Biosciences stock overvalued right now?
Cogent Biosciences (COGT) has a current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $-6.49. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-6.49. Cogent Biosciences' overall GF Score™ is 28/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Cogent Biosciences (COGT), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-6.49 as of Sep. 12, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Cogent Biosciences Business Description

Address 275 Wyman Street, 3rd Floor, Waltham, MA, USA, 02451
Cogent Biosciences Inc a biotechnology company focused on developing precision therapies for genetically defined diseases. It designs rational precision therapies that treat the underlying cause of disease and improve the lives of patients. Its program CGT9486, is a selective tyrosine kinase inhibitor designed to potently inhibit the KIT D816V mutation as well as other mutations in KIT exon 17. In the vast majority of cases, KIT D816V is responsible for driving Systemic Mastocytosis (SM), a serious disease caused by the unchecked proliferation of mast cells. Exon 17 mutations are also found in patients with advanced gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GIST), a type of cancer with dependence on oncogenic KIT signaling.
28GF Score

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Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$33.41
Price