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CapitalSource (FRA:CAU) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : €6.38 (As of May. 17, 2024)


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What is CapitalSource Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-05-17), CapitalSource's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is €6.38.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

CapitalSource's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for CapitalSource is -74.45%.

The historical rank and industry rank for CapitalSource's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:CAU's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Credit Services industry.
Industry Median: 0.705
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

CapitalSource Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for CapitalSource's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

CapitalSource Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

CapitalSource Annual Data
Trend Dec04 Dec05 Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
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CapitalSource Quarterly Data
Mar09 Jun09 Sep09 Dec09 Mar10 Jun10 Sep10 Dec10 Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of CapitalSource's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Credit Services subindustry, CapitalSource's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


CapitalSource's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Credit Services Industry

For the Credit Services industry and Financial Services sector, CapitalSource's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where CapitalSource's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



CapitalSource Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.40%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> CapitalSource's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = €0.5526.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

CapitalSource's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.5526*11.5406
=6.38

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (6.38 - 11.13) / 6.38
= -74.45 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


CapitalSource  (FRA:CAU) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


CapitalSource Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of CapitalSource's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


CapitalSource (FRA:CAU) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
CapitalSource Inc., incorporated in the state of Delaware. It is a commercial lender that provides financial products to middle market businesses. Through its wholly owned subsidiary, CapitalSource Bank, the Company provides depository products and services in southern and central California. Its main products include: Depository Products and Services; First Mortgage Loans; Senior Secured Asset-Based Loans; Senior Secured Cash Flow Loans; Direct Real Estate Investments; Term B, Second Lien and Mezzanine Loans; Equity Investments; and Residential Mortgage Investments. The Company currently operates as three reportable segments: Commercial Banking, Healthcare Net Lease and Residential Mortgage Investment. Its Commercial Banking segment comprises commercial lending and banking business activities; Healthcare Net Lease segment comprises its direct real estate investment business activities; and Residential Mortgage Investment segment comprises its residential mortgage investment and other investment activities formally engaged in to optimize its REIT qualification. Through Commercial Banking segment activities, the Company provides a range of financial products to middle market businesses and participates in broadly syndicated debt financings for larger businesses. Through Healthcare Net Lease segment activities, it invests in income-producing healthcare facilities, mainly long-term care facilities in the United States. The Company provides lease financing to skilled nursing facilities and, to a lesser extent, assisted living facilities, and long term acute care facilities. In its Commercial Banking and Healthcare Net Lease segments, the Company has three commercial lending businesses: Healthcare and Specialty Finance, which provides first mortgage loans, asset-based revolving lines of credit, and cash flow loans to healthcare businesses and, to a lesser extent, a range of other companies; Corporate Finance, which provides senior and subordinate loans through direct origination and participation in syndicated loan transactions; and Structured Finance, which engages in commercial and residential real estate finance and also provides asset-based lending to finance companies. The Company's markets are competitive and characterized by varying competitive factors. Some of its competitors have considerable market positions. The Company's bank operations are subject to regulation by federal and state regulatory agencies. This regulation is intended mainly for the protection of depositors and the deposit insurance fund, and secondarily for the stability of the U.S. banking system.

CapitalSource (FRA:CAU) Headlines

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