GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Banks » Fox Chase Bancorp Inc (NAS:FXCB) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Fox Chase Bancorp (Fox Chase Bancorp) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $8.83 (As of May. 05, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2006. Start your Free Trial

What is Fox Chase Bancorp Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-05-05), Fox Chase Bancorp's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $8.83.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Fox Chase Bancorp's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Fox Chase Bancorp is -130.35%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Fox Chase Bancorp's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

FXCB's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Banks industry.
Industry Median: 0.675
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Fox Chase Bancorp Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Fox Chase Bancorp's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Fox Chase Bancorp Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Fox Chase Bancorp Annual Data
Trend Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Fox Chase Bancorp Quarterly Data
Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Fox Chase Bancorp's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Fox Chase Bancorp's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Fox Chase Bancorp's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Fox Chase Bancorp's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fox Chase Bancorp's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



Fox Chase Bancorp Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.50%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Fox Chase Bancorp's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $0.765.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Fox Chase Bancorp's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.765*11.5406
=8.83

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (8.83 - 20.34) / 8.83
= -130.35 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Fox Chase Bancorp  (NAS:FXCB) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Fox Chase Bancorp Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Fox Chase Bancorp's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Fox Chase Bancorp (Fox Chase Bancorp) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Fox Chase Bancorp Inc is a Maryland corporation that was incorporated in March 2010. The Bank operates as a community-oriented financial institution offering traditional financial services to consumers and businesses in its market areas. The Bank attracts deposits from the general public and uses those funds to originate one- to four-family real estate, multi-family and commercial real estate, construction, commercial and consumer loans, which the Bank generally holds for investment. The largest segment of its loan portfolio is multi-family and commercial real estate loans. It offers fixed-rate and adjustable-rate mortgage loans secured by multi-family and commercial real estate to individuals and small businesses in its main market areas. Its multi-family and commercial real estate loans are generally secured by condominiums, apartment buildings and mixed-use properties with residential units, as well as office and retail space. It originates multi-family and commercial real estate loans with terms of up to 25 years. The second largest segment of its loan portfolio is residential mortgage loans, which enable borrowers to purchase or refinance existing homes, which are owner occupied. It offer fixed-rate and adjustable-rate loans with terms up to 30 years. It also offers commercial and industrial loans to professionals, sole proprietorships and small and mid-size businesses in its market area. It offers variety of consumer loans, including home equity loans and lines of credit, loans to individuals to purchase insurance policies, loans secured by certificate of deposits (share loans) and unsecured overdraft lines of credit. It competes with various financial institutions and credit unions operating in its market areas and, to a lesser extent, from other financial service companies such as brokerage firms and insurance companies. Its competition for loans comes mainly from financial institutions in its market areas, and, to a lesser extent, from other financial service providers such as mortgage companies, mortgage brokers and credit unions. As a savings and loan holding company, it is subject to Federal Reserve Board regulations, examinations, supervision, reporting requirements and regulations concerning its activities.
Executives
Thomas M Petro director, officer: President and CEO 14 NORTH MAIN STREET, PO BOX197, SOUDERTON PA 18964
Randall J Mcgarry officer: Sr. VP Chief Info. Officer 4390 DAVISVILLE ROAD, HATBORO PA 19040
Roger S Deacon officer: EVP and CFO 14 NORTH MAIN STREET, PO BOX 197, SOUDERTON PA 18964
Nichols Anthony A Sr director
Donald R Caldwell director 5 RADNOR CORP CENTER STE 555, RADNOR PA 19087
Roger H Ballou director C/O CDI CORP, 1717 ARCH ST 35TH FL, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Todd S Benning director 14 NORTH MAIN STREET, PO BOX 197, SOUDERTON PA 18964
Richard M Eisenstaedt director
Gerald A Ronon director 4390 DAVISVILLE ROAD, HATBORO PA 19040
Peter A Sears director 1659 EAST BOOT ROAD, WEST CHESTER PA 19380

Fox Chase Bancorp (Fox Chase Bancorp) Headlines

From GuruFocus