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Guotai Haitong Securities CoGUOSF 52 Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is $2.40 as of Jul. 16, 2026, which is 229% above its 10-year median of 0.73. GuruFocus rates GUOSF with a GF Score™ of 52/100 and a GF Value™ of $1.99. The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 87 Capital Markets companies, Guotai Haitong Securities Co ranks worse than 1149424.14% on this metric.
Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.
Guotai Haitong Securities Co's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.
The historical rank and industry rank for Guotai Haitong Securities Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Dividends Based) Ratio of Guotai Haitong Securities Co was 1.57. The lowest was 0.51. And the median was 0.73.
GUOSF's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Capital Markets industry.
Industry Median: 1.01 * Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.
What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:
1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.
Guotai Haitong Securities Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms
Guotai Haitong Securities Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Guotai Haitong Securities Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Guotai Haitong Securities Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart
For the Capital Markets subindustry, Guotai Haitong Securities Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Guotai Haitong Securities Co Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) vs Capital Markets Industry
For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Guotai Haitong Securities Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Guotai Haitong Securities Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.
Guotai Haitong Securities Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation
This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.
Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.
GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:
1. Discount Rate: d = 11% A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.57%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.
2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 9.70%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>
Guotai Haitong Securities Co's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past
10 years was 9.70%,
which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 9.70%
3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10
4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%
5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $0.153. GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.
All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of $2.40 mean?
Guotai Haitong Securities Co (GUOSF) has a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of $2.40 as of Jul. 16, 2026. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted dividend model. View historical data on Guotai Haitong Securities Co and its competitors. This is 229% above median its historical median of 0.73. Over the past decade, Guotai Haitong Securities Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) has ranged from 0.51 to 1.57. According to the industry distribution chart, Guotai Haitong Securities Co ranks #999999 out of 87 companies in the Capital Markets industry.
Is Guotai Haitong Securities Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) too high?
Guotai Haitong Securities Co's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of $2.40 is 229% above median its 10-year median of 0.73. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.51 to a high of 1.57. The Capital Markets industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 1.01. Guotai Haitong Securities Co's value of $2.40 is 137.6% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Guotai Haitong Securities Co ranks #999999 out of 87 companies in the Capital Markets industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Guotai Haitong Securities Co has a GF Score™ of 52/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Guotai Haitong Securities Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) compare to MS and GS?
According to the Capital Markets industry distribution chart, Guotai Haitong Securities Co ranks #999999 out of 87 companies for Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based). This places Guotai Haitong Securities Co in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 1.01. Guotai Haitong Securities Co's value of $2.40 is 137.6% above this benchmark. Historically, Guotai Haitong Securities Co's own Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) has ranged from 0.51 to 1.57 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 0.73 vs. the industry median of 1.01, Guotai Haitong Securities Co has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for a Capital Markets company?
The median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) among Capital Markets companies is 1.01, based on 87 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Guotai Haitong Securities Co's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of $2.40 is 137.6% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted dividend model. View historical data on Guotai Haitong Securities Co and its competitors. For the Capital Markets industry, the median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 1.01 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Guotai Haitong Securities Co's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is $2.40, which is 229% above median its own 10-year median of 0.73. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Guotai Haitong Securities Co stock overvalued right now?
Guotai Haitong Securities Co (GUOSF) has a current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of $2.40. The stock's GF Value™ is $1.99, compared to a current price of $2.00 — trading 0.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is $2.40, which is 229% above median its 10-year median of 0.73 and 137.6% above the Capital Markets industry median of 1.01. Guotai Haitong Securities Co's overall GF Score™ is 52/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) calculated?
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Guotai Haitong Securities Co (GUOSF), the current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is $2.40 as of Jul. 16, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Guotai Haitong Securities Co (GUOSF) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Guotai Haitong Securities Co stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $2.00 is trading 0.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of $1.99.
Key valuation signals for GUOSF:
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based): $2.40 (229% above median its 10-year median of 0.73)
GF Value™: $1.99 vs. price of $2.00 (0.5% above fair value)
Industry Position: 137.6% above the Capital Markets median (#999999 of 87)
No single metric tells the full story. See the GUOSF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Guotai Haitong Securities Co Ltd provides financial services across wealth management, investment banking, institutional trading, investment management, and finance lease segments. Its wealth management business offers brokerage, advisory, margin financing, and securities lending services, while investment banking includes underwriting and M&A advisory. The institutional trading segment, the highest revenue contributor, covers institutional services, trading, and investment activities across multiple asset classes. The Group also provides asset and fund management and finance leasing solutions. It generates revenue mainly from fees, commissions, interest income, and investment gains. The company generates the majority of its revenue from Mainland China.
52GF Score
Get the complete analysis for GUOSF
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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