GUOSF (Guotai Haitong Securities Co) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $4.63 (As of Aug. 25, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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GUOSF Guotai Haitong Securities Co Ltd GUOSF
59 GF Score
Price $2.00
GF Value $2.52
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Guotai Haitong Securities Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Guotai Haitong Securities Co GUOSF 59 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $4.63 as of Aug. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates GUOSF with a GF Score™ of 59/100 and a GF Value™ of $2.52. The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 516 Capital Markets companies, Guotai Haitong Securities Co ranks better than 79.84% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-08-25), Guotai Haitong Securities Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $4.63. The stock price of Guotai Haitong Securities Co is $2.00. Therefore, Guotai Haitong Securities Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for Guotai Haitong Securities Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

GUOSF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.29   Med: 0.82   Max: 6.76
Current: 0.43

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Guotai Haitong Securities Co was 6.76. The lowest was 0.29. And the median was 0.82.

GUOSF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
79.84% of 516 companies
in the Capital Markets industry
Industry Median: 1 vs GUOSF: 0.43

Guotai Haitong Securities Co  (OTCPK:GUOSF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Guotai Haitong Securities Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=2.00/5.8521060550341
=0.34

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Guotai Haitong Securities Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Guotai Haitong Securities Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Guotai Haitong Securities Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Guotai Haitong Securities Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Guotai Haitong Securities Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.49 3.47 3.55 3.65 3.33

Guotai Haitong Securities Co Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.09 3.14 3.33 4.67 4.40

GUOSF vs MS, GS, SCHW: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Guotai Haitong Securities Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Guotai Haitong Securities Co Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Guotai Haitong Securities Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Guotai Haitong Securities Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


GUOSF
59GF Score
Guotai Haitong Securities Co Ltd GUOSF
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Guotai Haitong Securities Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Guotai Haitong Securities Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $6,313.81.

Guotai Haitong Securities Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*6313.81424+55052.386*0.8)/17797.292
=5.85

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $4.63 mean?
Guotai Haitong Securities Co (GUOSF) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $4.63 as of Aug. 25, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Guotai Haitong Securities Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Guotai Haitong Securities Co ranks #104 out of 516 companies in the Capital Markets industry, placing it in the top 20.2%.
Is Guotai Haitong Securities Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Guotai Haitong Securities Co's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $4.63. The Capital Markets industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.00. Guotai Haitong Securities Co's value of $4.63 is 363% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Guotai Haitong Securities Co ranks #104 out of 516 companies in the Capital Markets industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Guotai Haitong Securities Co has a GF Score™ of 59/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Guotai Haitong Securities Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to MS and GS?
According to the Capital Markets industry distribution chart, Guotai Haitong Securities Co ranks #104 out of 516 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Guotai Haitong Securities Co in the top 20% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.00. Guotai Haitong Securities Co's value of $4.63 is 363% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Capital Markets company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Capital Markets companies is 1.00, based on 516 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Guotai Haitong Securities Co's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $4.63 is 363% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Guotai Haitong Securities Co and its competitors. For the Capital Markets industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.00 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Guotai Haitong Securities Co's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $4.63. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Guotai Haitong Securities Co stock overvalued right now?
Guotai Haitong Securities Co (GUOSF) has a current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $4.63. The stock's GF Value™ is $2.52, compared to a current price of $2.00 — trading 20.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $4.63 and 363% above the Capital Markets industry median of 1.00. Guotai Haitong Securities Co's overall GF Score™ is 59/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Guotai Haitong Securities Co (GUOSF), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $4.63 as of Aug. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Guotai Haitong Securities Co (GUOSF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Guotai Haitong Securities Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $2.00 is trading 20.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of $2.52.

Key valuation signals for GUOSF:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $4.63
  • GF Value™: $2.52 vs. price of $2.00 (20.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 59/100 with 3 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 363% above the Capital Markets median (#104 of 516)

No single metric tells the full story. See the GUOSF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Guotai Haitong Securities Co Business Description

Address No. 768 Nanjing West Road, Jingan District, Shanghai, CHN, 200041
Guotai Haitong Securities Co Ltd provides financial services across wealth management, investment banking, institutional trading, investment management, and finance lease segments. Its wealth management business offers brokerage, advisory, margin financing, and securities lending services, while investment banking includes underwriting and M&A advisory. The institutional trading segment, the highest revenue contributor, covers institutional services, trading, and investment activities across multiple asset classes. The Group also provides asset and fund management and finance leasing solutions. It generates revenue mainly from fees, commissions, interest income, and investment gains. The company generates the majority of its revenue from Mainland China.
59GF Score

Get the complete analysis for GUOSF

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$2.00
Price
$2.52
GF Value