Oxford Lane Capital (Oxford Lane Capital) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $6.77 (As of May. 01, 2024)

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What is Oxford Lane Capital Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-05-01), Oxford Lane Capital's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $6.77.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Oxford Lane Capital's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Oxford Lane Capital is 26.44%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Oxford Lane Capital's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

OXLC's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked ^*
in the Asset Management industry.
Industry Median: 0.845
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Oxford Lane Capital Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Oxford Lane Capital's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Oxford Lane Capital Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Oxford Lane Capital Annual Data

Trend

Mar14

Mar15

Mar16

Mar17

Mar18

Mar19

Mar20

Mar21

Mar22

Mar23

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

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Oxford Lane Capital Semi-Annual Data
	Mar14	Mar15	Sep15	Mar16	Mar17	Sep17	Mar18	Sep18	Mar19	Sep19	Mar20	Sep20	Mar21	Sep21	Mar22	Sep22	Mar23	Sep23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	Get a 7-Day Free Trial													-	-	-	-	-

Competitive Comparison of Oxford Lane Capital's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Asset Management subindustry, Oxford Lane Capital's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Oxford Lane Capital's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Oxford Lane Capital's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Oxford Lane Capital's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.

Oxford Lane Capital Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.67%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Oxford Lane Capital's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 5 years was -15.30%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $0.5868.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Oxford Lane Capital's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	=	Dividends per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Dividends per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Dividends per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

0.5868

11.5406

6.77

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
	=	(6.77	-	4.98)	/	6.77
	=	26.44 %

Oxford Lane Capital (NAS:OXLC) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

Oxford Lane Capital Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

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Oxford Lane Capital (Oxford Lane Capital) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Asset Management » Oxford Lane Capital Corp (NAS:OXLC) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

OXLCP.PFD:USA OXLCM.PFD:USA

Address

8 Sound Shore Drive, Suite 255, Greenwich, CT, USA, 06830

Website

https://www.oxfordlanecapital.com

Oxford Lane Capital Corp is a non-diversified closed-end management investment company. The fund's investment objective is to maximize its portfolio's risk-adjusted total return over its investment horizon. Its current focus is to seek that return by investing in equity and junior tranches of CLO(collateralized loan obligation) vehicles, which are collateralized primarily by a diverse portfolio of senior loans, and which generally have little to no exposure to real estate loans, mortgage loans or pools of consumer-based debt, such as credit card receivables or auto loans. Its investment strategy also includes investing in warehouse facilities, which are financing structures intended to aggregate senior loans that may be used to form the basis of a CLO vehicle.

Executives

Mark Jeffrey Ashenfelter	director	C/O OXFORD LANE CAPITAL CORP., 8 SOUND SHORE DRIVE, SUITE 255, GREENWICH CT 06830
Wilton Reassurance Co	10 percent owner	20 GLOVER AVENUE, NORWALK CT 06850
Eagle Point Credit Management Llc	10 percent owner	600 STEAMBOAT RD, SUITE 202, GREENWICH CT 06830
Thomas P. Majewski	10 percent owner	600 STEAMBOAT RD, SUITE 202, GREENWICH CT 06830
Eagle Point Dif Gp I Llc	10 percent owner	600 STEAMBOAT ROAD, SUITE 202, GREENWICH CT 06830
Eagle Point Credit Gp I Lp	10 percent owner	600 STEAMBOAT RD, SUITE 202, GREENWICH CT 06830
Saul B Rosenthal	director, officer: President	8 SOUND SHORE DR STE 215, GREENWICH CT 06830
John Stuart Reardon	director	C/O OXFORD LANE CAPITAL CORP., 8 SOUND SHORE DRIVE, SUITE 255, GREENWICH CT 06830
David S. Shin	director	C/O OXFORD LANE CAPITAL CORP., 8 SOUND SHORE DRIVE, SUITE 255, GREENWICH CT 06830
Bruce L. Rubin	officer: CFO, SEC, TREAS	TICC CAPITAL CORP., 8 SOUND SHORE DRIVE, SUITE 255, GREENWICH CT 06830
Gerald Cummins	officer: Chief Compliance Officer	C/O OXFORD LANE CAPITAL CORP., 8 SOUND SHORE DRIVE, SUITE 255, GREENWICH CT 06830
Leroy Scott Frantz	10 percent owner	C/O HAEBLER CAPITAL, 8 SOUND SHORE DRIVE, GREENWICH CT 06830
Patrick Conroy	officer: CFO, CCO and Secretary	8 SOUND SHORE DRIVE STE 215, GREENWICH CT 06830
Jonathan H Cohen	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	8 SOUND SHORE DR STE 215, GREENWICH CT 06830
Charles M Royce	10 percent owner	C/O ROYCE & ASSOCIATES, LLC, 745 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10151