EBOSF (Ebos Group) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based): $9.59 (As of Jul. 30, 2026) — 788% Above Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

EBOSF Ebos Group Ltd EBOSF
85 GF Score
Price $23.75
GF Value $43.41
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Ebos Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)?

Ebos Group EBOSF +15.85% 85 Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is $9.59 as of Jul. 30, 2026, which is 788% above its 10-year median of 1.08. GuruFocus rates EBOSF with a GF Score™ of 85/100 and a GF Value™ of $43.41. The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 19 Medical Distribution companies, Ebos Group ranks worse than 84.21% on this metric.

As of today (2026-07-30), Ebos Group's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $9.59.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Ebos Group's Predictability Rank is 5-Stars.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Ebos Group is -147.65%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ebos Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

EBOSF' s Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.78   Med: 1.08   Max: 2.56
Current: 2.48

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Earnings Based) Ratio of Ebos Group was 2.56. The lowest was 0.78. And the median was 1.08.

EBOSF's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is ranked worse than
84.21% of 19 companies
in the Medical Distribution industry
Industry Median: 1 vs EBOSF: 2.48

Ebos Group  (OTCPK:EBOSF) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Ebos Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms


Ebos Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Ebos Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Ebos Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Chart

Ebos Group Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 18.67 12.48 19.73 19.89 8.01

Ebos Group Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 19.89 0.00 8.01 0.00

EBOSF vs MCK, COR, CAH: Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Comparison

For the Medical Distribution subindustry, Ebos Group's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ebos Group Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) vs Medical Distribution Industry

For the Medical Distribution industry and Healthcare sector, Ebos Group's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ebos Group's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.


EBOSF
85GF Score
Ebos Group Ltd EBOSF
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Ebos Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.83%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 6.60%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Ebos Group's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 6.60%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 6.60%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $0.749.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Ebos Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.066)/(1+0.11) = 0.96036036036036
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=EPS without NRI*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.749*12.8056
=9.59

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(9.59-23.75)/9.59
=-147.65 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) of $9.59 mean?
Ebos Group (EBOSF) has a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) of $9.59 as of Jul. 30, 2026. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted earnings model. View historical data on Ebos Group and its competitors. This is 788% above median its historical median of 1.08. Over the past decade, Ebos Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) has ranged from 0.78 to 2.56. According to the industry distribution chart, Ebos Group ranks #16 out of 19 companies in the Medical Distribution industry, placing it in the top 84.2%.
Is Ebos Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) too high?
Ebos Group's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) of $9.59 is 788% above median its 10-year median of 1.08. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.78 to a high of 2.56. The Medical Distribution industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is 1.00. Ebos Group's value of $9.59 is 859% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Ebos Group ranks #16 out of 19 companies in the Medical Distribution industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Ebos Group has a GF Score™ of 85/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Ebos Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) compare to MCK and COR?
According to the Medical Distribution industry distribution chart, Ebos Group ranks #16 out of 19 companies for Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based). This places Ebos Group in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is 1.00. Ebos Group's value of $9.59 is 859% above this benchmark. Historically, Ebos Group's own Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) has ranged from 0.78 to 2.56 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.08 vs. the industry median of 1.00, Ebos Group has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for a Medical Distribution company?
The median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) among Medical Distribution companies is 1.00, based on 19 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Ebos Group's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) of $9.59 is 859% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted earnings model. View historical data on Ebos Group and its competitors. For the Medical Distribution industry, the median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is 1.00 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Ebos Group's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is $9.59, which is 788% above median its own 10-year median of 1.08. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Ebos Group stock overvalued right now?
Ebos Group (EBOSF) has a current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) of $9.59. The stock's GF Value™ is $43.41, compared to a current price of $23.75 — trading 45.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is $9.59, which is 788% above median its 10-year median of 1.08 and 859% above the Medical Distribution industry median of 1.00. Ebos Group's overall GF Score™ is 85/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) calculated?
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Ebos Group (EBOSF), the current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is $9.59 as of Jul. 30, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Ebos Group (EBOSF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ebos Group stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $23.75 is trading 45.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of $43.41.

Key valuation signals for EBOSF:

  • Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based): $9.59 (788% above median its 10-year median of 1.08)
  • GF Value™: $43.41 vs. price of $23.75 (45.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 85/100 with 4 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 859% above the Medical Distribution median (#16 of 19)

No single metric tells the full story. See the EBOSF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Ebos Group Business Description

Address 737 Bourke Street, Level 7, Docklands, Melbourne, VIC, AUS, 3008
Ebos is the largest pharmaceutical wholesaler across Australia and New Zealand. It services community pharmacies and hospitals, which contribute around 50% and 30% of revenue, respectively. Drug pricing and wholesale margins for PBS medicine are governed by the Australian government's Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme, or PBS. Wholesale gross margins are capped at 7% for community pharmacy and 10% for hospitals, and ongoing price reform typically results in low-single-digit revenue growth. Aside from pharma distribution, Ebos operates an animal health product wholesale, manufacturing and retail business, as well as undertaking third party logistics services. These segments are smaller contributors to group revenue but due to the unregulated nature are higher-margin operations.
85GF Score

Get the complete analysis for EBOSF

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$23.75
Price
$43.41
GF Value