GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » GRI Bio Inc (NAS:GRI) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

GRI Bio (GRI Bio) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) : $-296.10 (As of May. 16, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2023. Start your Free Trial

What is GRI Bio Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)?

As of today (2024-05-16), GRI Bio's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $-296.10.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

GRI Bio's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for GRI Bio is N/A.

The historical rank and industry rank for GRI Bio's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

GRI's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is not ranked *
in the Biotechnology industry.
Industry Median: 1.66
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) only.

GRI Bio Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for GRI Bio's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

GRI Bio Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Chart

GRI Bio Annual Data
Trend Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
- - -

GRI Bio Quarterly Data
Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of GRI Bio's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, GRI Bio's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


GRI Bio's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, GRI Bio's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where GRI Bio's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.



GRI Bio Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.34%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> GRI Bio's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $-25.657.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

GRI Bio's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=EPS without NRI*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-25.657*11.5406
=-296.10

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(-296.1-0.4007)/-296.1
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


GRI Bio  (NAS:GRI) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


GRI Bio Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of GRI Bio's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


GRI Bio (GRI Bio) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » GRI Bio Inc (NAS:GRI) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2223 Avenida De La Playa, Suite 208, La Jolla, CA, USA, 92037
GRI Bio Inc is a clinical-stage biotech company focused on discovering, developing, and commercializing therapies targeting serious diseases associated with dysregulated immune responses that to inflammatory, fibrotic, and autoimmune disorders. GRI Bio's program, GRI-0621, is a small molecule RAR-beta and gamma dual agonist that inhibits the activity of human NKT I cells, returning the immune system to homeostasis.
Executives
David Leslie Szekeres director C/O REGULUS THERAPEUTICS INC., 3545 JOHN HOPKINS COURT, SUITE 210, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Roelof Rongen director C/O MATINAS BIOPHARMA HOLDINGS, INC., 1545 ROUTE 206 SOUTH, SUITE 302, BEDMINSTER NJ 07921
Camilla V Simpson director 20 ELAINE AVE., MILL VALLEY CA 94941
Albert Agro officer: Chief Medical Officer 828 RICHMOND STREET WEST, TORONTO A6 M6J 1C9
Walter Marc Hertz director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer 2223 AVIENDA DE LA PLAYA, SUITE 208, LA JOLLA CA 92037
Vipin Chaturvedi officer: Chief Scientific Officer 2223 AVIENDA DE LA PLAYA, SUITE 208, LA JOLLA CA 92037
Meenu Chhabra director C/O VALLON PHARAMCEUTICALS, INC., 100 N 18TH, STREET, SUITE 300, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Joseph E Payne director 10628 SCIENCE CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 200, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Leanne M. Kelly officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O VALLON PHARAMCEUTICALS, INC., 100 N 18TH STREET, SUITE 300, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Marella Thorell director 1226 CHARTER LANE, AMBLER PA 19002
Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. 10 percent owner 10628 SCIENCE CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 250, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Penny Toren officer: SVP, Regul Affairs & Prog Mgmt C/O VALLON PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 100 N. 18TH STREET, SUITE 300, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Ofir Levi director C/O VALLON PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 100 N. 18TH STREET, SUITE 300, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Richard Ammer director, 10 percent owner C/O VALLON PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 100 N. 18TH STREET, SUITE 300, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Pharma Gmbh Salmon 10 percent owner SANKT-JACOBS-STRASSE 90, CH-9002, BASEL V8 4052