Technical Publications Service SpA (MIL:TPS) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based): €15.83 (As of Sep. 01, 2026)

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MIL:TPS Technical Publications Service SpA MIL:TPS
95 GF Score
Price €7.75
GF Value €7.25
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is Technical Publications Service SpA Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)?

Technical Publications Service SpA MIL:TPS +1.97% 95 Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is €15.83 as of Sep. 01, 2026. GuruFocus rates MIL:TPS with a GF Score™ of 95/100 and a GF Value™ of €7.25 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 152 Transportation companies, Technical Publications Service SpA ranks better than 75.66% on this metric.

As of today (2026-09-01), Technical Publications Service SpA's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is €15.83.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Technical Publications Service SpA's Predictability Rank is 3.5-Stars.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Technical Publications Service SpA is 51.04%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Technical Publications Service SpA's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

MIL:TPS' s Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.39   Med: 0.39   Max: 0.49
Current: 0.49

During the past 11 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Earnings Based) Ratio of Technical Publications Service SpA was 0.49. The lowest was 0.39. And the median was 0.39.

MIL:TPS's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is ranked better than
75.66% of 152 companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 0.86 vs MIL:TPS: 0.49

Technical Publications Service SpA  (MIL:TPS) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Technical Publications Service SpA Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms


Technical Publications Service SpA Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Technical Publications Service SpA's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Technical Publications Service SpA Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Chart

Technical Publications Service SpA Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.60

Technical Publications Service SpA Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.60

MIL:TPS vs JOBY, CAAP: Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Comparison

For the Airports & Air Services subindustry, Technical Publications Service SpA's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Technical Publications Service SpA Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Technical Publications Service SpA's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Technical Publications Service SpA's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.


MIL:TPS
95GF Score
Technical Publications Service SpA MIL:TPS
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Technical Publications Service SpA Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 10%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 3.73%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 16.10%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Technical Publications Service SpA's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 16.10%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 16.10%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = €0.600.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Technical Publications Service SpA's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.161)/(1+0.1) = 1.0554545454545
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.1) = 0.94545454545455

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=EPS without NRI*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.600*26.3839
=15.83

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(15.83-7.75)/15.83
=51.04 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) of €15.83 mean?
Technical Publications Service SpA (MIL:TPS) has a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) of €15.83 as of Sep. 01, 2026. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted earnings model. View historical data on Technical Publications Service SpA and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Technical Publications Service SpA ranks #37 out of 152 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 24.3%.
Is Technical Publications Service SpA's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) too high?
Technical Publications Service SpA's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is €15.83. Based on the distribution chart, Technical Publications Service SpA ranks #37 out of 152 companies in the Transportation industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Technical Publications Service SpA has a GF Score™ of 95/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Technical Publications Service SpA's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) compare to JOBY and CAAP?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, Technical Publications Service SpA ranks #37 out of 152 companies for Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based). This places Technical Publications Service SpA in the top 24% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is 0.86. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for a Transportation company?
The median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) among Transportation companies is 0.86, based on 152 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted earnings model. View historical data on Technical Publications Service SpA and its competitors. For the Transportation industry, the median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is 0.86 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Technical Publications Service SpA's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is €15.83. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Technical Publications Service SpA stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Technical Publications Service SpA (MIL:TPS) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is €7.25, compared to a current price of €7.75 — trading 6.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is €15.83. Technical Publications Service SpA's overall GF Score™ is 95/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) calculated?
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Technical Publications Service SpA (MIL:TPS), the current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is €15.83 as of Sep. 01, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Technical Publications Service SpA (MIL:TPS) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Technical Publications Service SpA stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €7.75 is trading 6.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of €7.25. GuruFocus considers Technical Publications Service SpA to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for MIL:TPS:

  • Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based): €15.83
  • GF Value™: €7.25 vs. price of €7.75 (6.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 95/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the MIL:TPS stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Technical Publications Service SpA Business Description

Address Via Lazzaretto 12/C, Gallarate, ITA, 21013
Technical Publications Service SpA provides technical publications services to the aerospace industry. The company creates logistical support, use and maintenance manuals, spare parts catalogs, after-sales support documents, etc.
95GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MIL:TPS

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€7.75
Price
€7.25
GF Value