Bisalloy Steel Group (ASX:BIS) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based): A$7.81 (As of Aug. 29, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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ASX:BIS Bisalloy Steel Group Ltd ASX:BIS
73 GF Score
Price A$4.36
GF Value A$3.52
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 1 Warning Sign
View Full Analysis

What is Bisalloy Steel Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

Bisalloy Steel Group ASX:BIS -8.60% 73 Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is A$7.81 as of Aug. 29, 2026. GuruFocus rates ASX:BIS with a GF Score™ of 73/100 and a GF Value™ of A$3.52 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 54 Steel companies, Bisalloy Steel Group ranks better than 66.67% on this metric.

As of today (2026-08-29), Bisalloy Steel Group's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is A$7.81.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Bisalloy Steel Group's Predictability Rank is 4.5-Stars.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Bisalloy Steel Group is 44.17%.

The industry rank for Bisalloy Steel Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:BIS's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is ranked better than
66.67% of 54 companies
in the Steel industry
Industry Median: 1.13 vs ASX:BIS: 0.56

Bisalloy Steel Group  (ASX:BIS) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Bisalloy Steel Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms


Bisalloy Steel Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Bisalloy Steel Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Bisalloy Steel Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Bisalloy Steel Group Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 2.63 12.94 7.81

Bisalloy Steel Group Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 12.94 0.00 7.81 0.00

ASX:BIS vs NUE, STLD, RS: Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Comparison

For the Steel subindustry, Bisalloy Steel Group's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Bisalloy Steel Group Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) vs Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Bisalloy Steel Group's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Bisalloy Steel Group's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.


ASX:BIS
73GF Score
Bisalloy Steel Group Ltd ASX:BIS
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Bisalloy Steel Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.83%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 20%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Bisalloy Steel Group's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 52.90%, which is no less than 20%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 20%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = A$0.250.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Bisalloy Steel Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.2)/(1+0.11) = 1.0810810810811
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.250*31.2501
=7.81

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(7.81-4.36)/7.81
=44.17 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) of A$7.81 mean?
Bisalloy Steel Group (ASX:BIS) has a Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) of A$7.81 as of Aug. 29, 2026. Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted free cash flow model. View historical data on Bisalloy Steel Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Bisalloy Steel Group ranks #18 out of 54 companies in the Steel industry, placing it in the top 33.3%.
Is Bisalloy Steel Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) too high?
Bisalloy Steel Group's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is A$7.81. Based on the distribution chart, Bisalloy Steel Group ranks #18 out of 54 companies in the Steel industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Bisalloy Steel Group has a GF Score™ of 73/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Bisalloy Steel Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) compare to NUE and STLD?
According to the Steel industry distribution chart, Bisalloy Steel Group ranks #18 out of 54 companies for Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based). This puts Bisalloy Steel Group in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is 1.13. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for a Steel company?
The median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) among Steel companies is 1.13, based on 54 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted free cash flow model. View historical data on Bisalloy Steel Group and its competitors. For the Steel industry, the median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is 1.13 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Bisalloy Steel Group's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is A$7.81. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Bisalloy Steel Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Bisalloy Steel Group (ASX:BIS) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$3.52, compared to a current price of A$4.36 — trading 23.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is A$7.81. Bisalloy Steel Group's overall GF Score™ is 73/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) calculated?
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Bisalloy Steel Group (ASX:BIS), the current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is A$7.81 as of Aug. 29, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Bisalloy Steel Group (ASX:BIS) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Bisalloy Steel Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of A$4.36 is trading 23.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of A$3.52. GuruFocus considers Bisalloy Steel Group to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for ASX:BIS:

  • Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based): A$7.81
  • GF Value™: A$3.52 vs. price of A$4.36 (23.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 73/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:BIS stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Bisalloy Steel Group Business Description

Other Exchanges YA5:Germany
Address 18 Resolution Drive, Unanderra, Wollongong, NSW, AUS, 2526
Bisalloy Steel Group Ltd is engaged in the processing and sale of quenched and tempered high-tensile, and abrasion-resistant steel plates. The company is organized into geographical operating segments, being Australian Operations is engaged in the distribution of wear-grade and high tensile plates through distributors and directly to original equipment manufacturers in both Australia and Overseas. Its Overseas Operations engage in the distribution of the abrasion-resistant plate as well as other steel plate products. The Overseas Operations also focus on the marketing and distribution of quench and tempered steel plates. The majority of its revenue is derived from Australian Operations.
73GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ASX:BIS

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$4.36
Price
A$3.52
GF Value