Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.
Collins FoodsCLLFF 70 Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is $13.54 as of Aug. 04, 2026, which is 2663% above its 10-year median of 0.49. GuruFocus rates CLLFF with a GF Score™ of 70/100 and a GF Value™ of $8.63 (Significantly Undervalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 35 Restaurants companies, Collins Foods ranks better than 71.43% on this metric.
Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.
1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.
Collins Foods Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms
Collins Foods Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Collins Foods's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
For the Restaurants subindustry, Collins Foods's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Collins Foods Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) vs Restaurants Industry
For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Collins Foods's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Collins Foods's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.
This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.
Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:
1. Discount Rate: d = 11% A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.83%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.
2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 14.90%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>
Collins Foods's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past
10 years was 14.90%,
which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 14.90%
3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10
4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%
5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10
6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $0.610. However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.
All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.
Collins Foods's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) of $13.54 mean?
Collins Foods (CLLFF) has a Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) of $13.54 as of Aug. 04, 2026. Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted free cash flow model. View historical data on Collins Foods and its competitors. This is 2663% above median its historical median of 0.49. Over the past decade, Collins Foods' Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) has ranged from 0.31 to 0.56. According to the industry distribution chart, Collins Foods ranks #10 out of 35 companies in the Restaurants industry, placing it in the top 28.6%.
Is Collins Foods' Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) too high?
Collins Foods' current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) of $13.54 is 2663% above median its 10-year median of 0.49. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.31 to a high of 0.56. The Restaurants industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is 0.90. Collins Foods' value of $13.54 is 1404.4% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Collins Foods ranks #10 out of 35 companies in the Restaurants industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Collins Foods has a GF Score™ of 70/100 and is considered Significantly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Collins Foods' Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) compare to MCD and SBUX?
According to the Restaurants industry distribution chart, Collins Foods ranks #10 out of 35 companies for Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based). This puts Collins Foods in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is 0.90. Collins Foods' value of $13.54 is 1404.4% above this benchmark. Historically, Collins Foods' own Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) has ranged from 0.31 to 0.56 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 0.49 vs. the industry median of 0.90, Collins Foods has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for a Restaurants company?
The median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) among Restaurants companies is 0.90, based on 35 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Collins Foods's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) of $13.54 is 1404.4% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted free cash flow model. View historical data on Collins Foods and its competitors. For the Restaurants industry, the median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is 0.90 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Collins Foods's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is $13.54, which is 2663% above median its own 10-year median of 0.49. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Collins Foods stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Collins Foods (CLLFF) is currently considered Significantly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $8.63, compared to a current price of $5.40 — trading 37.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is $13.54, which is 2663% above median its 10-year median of 0.49 and 1404.4% above the Restaurants industry median of 0.90. Collins Foods' overall GF Score™ is 70/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) calculated?
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Collins Foods (CLLFF), the current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is $13.54 as of Aug. 04, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Collins Foods (CLLFF) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Collins Foods stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of $5.40 is trading 37.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of $8.63.
GuruFocus considers Collins Foods to be Significantly Undervalued.
Key valuation signals for CLLFF:
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based): $13.54 (2663% above median its 10-year median of 0.49)
GF Value™: $8.63 vs. price of $5.40 (37.4% below fair value)
Industry Position: 1404.4% above the Restaurants median (#10 of 35)
No single metric tells the full story. See the CLLFF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Collins Foods is an operator of quick service restaurants, or QSRs. It franchises restaurant brands from US-listed Yum Brands, including KFC in Australia, Germany, and the Netherlands. Revenue and earnings are largely generated in Australia, where Collins is the largest KFC franchisee. Earnings growth is underpinned by its store network expansion, both new restaurants and acquisitions of existing sites. Competitive pricing is key to maintaining share in the QSR market, and the company has generally increased at or below consumer price index growth.
70GF Score
Get the complete analysis for CLLFF
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
Quick Browse
Personalize
Premium Gurus 
Create New Portfolio
CLLFF has been successfully added to your 
