CVRAF (Convenience Retail Asia) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based): $0.35 (As of Sep. 05, 2026)

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CVRAF Convenience Retail Asia Ltd CVRAF
56 GF Score
Price $0.66
GF Value $0.92
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Convenience Retail Asia Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

Convenience Retail Asia CVRAF 56 Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is $0.35 as of Sep. 05, 2026. GuruFocus rates CVRAF with a GF Score™ of 56/100 and a GF Value™ of $0.92. The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 66 Retail - Defensive companies, Convenience Retail Asia ranks worse than 1515150% on this metric.

As of today (2026-09-05), Convenience Retail Asia's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $0.35.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Convenience Retail Asia's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Convenience Retail Asia is -88.57%.

The industry rank for Convenience Retail Asia's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

CVRAF's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Retail - Defensive industry.
Industry Median: 0.77
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Convenience Retail Asia  (OTCPK:CVRAF) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Convenience Retail Asia Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms


Convenience Retail Asia Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Convenience Retail Asia's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Convenience Retail Asia Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Convenience Retail Asia Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Convenience Retail Asia Semi-Annual Data
Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

CVRAF vs KR: Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Comparison

For the Grocery Stores subindustry, Convenience Retail Asia's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Convenience Retail Asia Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) vs Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Convenience Retail Asia's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Convenience Retail Asia's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.


CVRAF
56GF Score
Convenience Retail Asia Ltd CVRAF
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Convenience Retail Asia Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.78%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Convenience Retail Asia's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 4.10%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $0.030.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Convenience Retail Asia's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.030*11.5406
=0.35

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(0.35-0.66)/0.35
=-88.57 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) of $0.35 mean?
Convenience Retail Asia (CVRAF) has a Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) of $0.35 as of Sep. 05, 2026. Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted free cash flow model. View historical data on Convenience Retail Asia and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Convenience Retail Asia ranks #999999 out of 66 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry.
Is Convenience Retail Asia's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) too high?
Convenience Retail Asia's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is $0.35. The Retail - Defensive industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is 0.77. Convenience Retail Asia's value of $0.35 is 54.5% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Convenience Retail Asia ranks #999999 out of 66 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Convenience Retail Asia has a GF Score™ of 56/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Convenience Retail Asia's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) compare to KR?
According to the Retail - Defensive industry distribution chart, Convenience Retail Asia ranks #999999 out of 66 companies for Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based). This places Convenience Retail Asia in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is 0.77. Convenience Retail Asia's value of $0.35 is 54.5% below this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for a Retail - Defensive company?
The median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) among Retail - Defensive companies is 0.77, based on 66 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Convenience Retail Asia's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) of $0.35 is 54.5% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted free cash flow model. View historical data on Convenience Retail Asia and its competitors. For the Retail - Defensive industry, the median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is 0.77 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Convenience Retail Asia's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is $0.35. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Convenience Retail Asia stock overvalued right now?
Convenience Retail Asia (CVRAF) has a current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) of $0.35. The stock's GF Value™ is $0.92, compared to a current price of $0.66 — trading 28.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is $0.35 and 54.5% below the Retail - Defensive industry median of 0.77. Convenience Retail Asia's overall GF Score™ is 56/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) calculated?
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Convenience Retail Asia (CVRAF), the current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is $0.35 as of Sep. 05, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Convenience Retail Asia (CVRAF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Convenience Retail Asia stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $0.66 is trading 28.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of $0.92.

Key valuation signals for CVRAF:

  • Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based): $0.35
  • GF Value™: $0.92 vs. price of $0.66 (28.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 56/100 with 5 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 54.5% below the Retail - Defensive median (#999999 of 66)

No single metric tells the full story. See the CVRAF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Convenience Retail Asia Business Description

Other Exchanges 00831:Hong Kong
Address 2 On Ping Street, 15th Floor, LiFung Centre, Siu Lek Yuen, Shatin, New Territories, Hong Kong, HKG
Convenience Retail Asia Ltd is an investment holding company. Along with its subsidiaries, it is principally engaged in the operation of chains of bakeries and eyewear businesses. The group operates in two segments, namely, Bakery and Eyewear. The majority of its revenue comes from the Bakery segment, which comprises the sale of bakery and festival products under the brand names of Saint Honore and Mon cher. The Eyewear business segment includes the sale of eyewear products under the brand name of Zoff.
56GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CVRAF

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$0.66
Price
$0.92
GF Value