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Coastal Contacts (FRA:C9R1) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : €-5.56 (As of Jun. 20, 2024)


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What is Coastal Contacts Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-06-20), Coastal Contacts's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is €-5.56.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Coastal Contacts's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Coastal Contacts is N/A.

The industry rank for Coastal Contacts's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:C9R1's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Medical Devices & Instruments industry.
Industry Median: 1.94
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Coastal Contacts Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Coastal Contacts's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Coastal Contacts Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Coastal Contacts Annual Data
Trend Oct04 Oct05 Oct06 Oct07 Oct08 Oct09 Oct10 Oct11 Oct12 Oct13
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
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Coastal Contacts Quarterly Data
Apr09 Jul09 Oct09 Jan10 Apr10 Jul10 Oct10 Jan11 Apr11 Jul11 Oct11 Jan12 Apr12 Jul12 Oct12 Jan13 Apr13 Jul13 Oct13 Jan14
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Coastal Contacts's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Medical Instruments & Supplies subindustry, Coastal Contacts's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Coastal Contacts's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Medical Devices & Instruments Industry

For the Medical Devices & Instruments industry and Healthcare sector, Coastal Contacts's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Coastal Contacts's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



Coastal Contacts Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 10%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 3.64%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Coastal Contacts's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = €-0.445.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Coastal Contacts's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.1) = 0.95454545454545
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.1) = 0.94545454545455

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-0.445*12.485
=-5.56

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(-5.56-8.27)/-5.56
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Coastal Contacts  (FRA:C9R1) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Coastal Contacts Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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Coastal Contacts (FRA:C9R1) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Coastal Contacts Inc. was incorporated under the Canada Business Corporations Act on December 14, 2000. The Company is an online retailer of vision care products. It is a direct-to-consumer retailer of vision care products and services. The Company sells contact lenses, eyeglasses and related products mainly through the Company's internet websites, although customers may also place orders over the telephone. It has operations and distribution centers in North America, Europe and Australia. The Company sells contact lenses manufactured by multinational companies such as Johnson and Johnson Inc., CIBA Vision Corporation (a division of Alcon), Bausch & Lomb Inc. and Coopervision Inc. It sells eyeglasses, which are mainly assembled in the Company's own laboratories, composed of frames and lenses purchased from a variety of different suppliers. The frames it uses in its eyeglasses include both branded frames and the Company's own private label frames such as Derek Cardigan, Kam Dhillon, Ltede and Joseph Marc. The Company also sells a variety of vision related products such as sunglasses and contact lens solutions including its own Healthy Eyes brand multipurpose contact lens solution for soft contact lenses. It offers substantially all of the soft contact lenses produced by the contact lens manufacturers, including Johnson & Johnson Inc., CIBA Vision Corporation, Bausch & Lomb Inc. and Coopervision Inc. The Company conducts all of its product fulfillment operations from the Company's distribution facilities in Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada; Stockholm, Sweden; Blaine, Washington and Sydney, Australia.

Coastal Contacts (FRA:C9R1) Headlines

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