Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing (FRA:LMP) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based): €0.31 (As of Aug. 23, 2026) — 76% Below Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

FRA:LMP Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Ltd FRA:LMP
79 GF Score
Price €0.42
GF Value €0.30
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing FRA:LMP +1.45% 79 Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is €0.31 as of Aug. 23, 2026, which is 100% below its 10-year median of 1.29. GuruFocus rates FRA:LMP with a GF Score™ of 79/100 and a GF Value™ of €0.30. The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 17 Forest Products companies, Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing ranks worse than 5882347.06% on this metric.

As of today (2026-08-23), Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is €0.31.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing is -35.48%.

The industry rank for Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:LMP's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Forest Products industry.
Industry Median: 1.8
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing  (FRA:LMP) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms


Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
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Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Semi-Annual Data
Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Competitor Comparison

For the Paper & Paper Products subindustry, Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) vs Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.


FRA:LMP
79GF Score
Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Ltd FRA:LMP
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.74%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = €0.027.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.027*11.5406
=0.31

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(0.31-0.42)/0.31
=-35.48 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) of €0.31 mean?
Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing (FRA:LMP) has a Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) of €0.31 as of Aug. 23, 2026. Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted free cash flow model. View historical data on Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing and its competitors. This is 76% below median its historical median of 1.29. Over the past decade, Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) has ranged from 0.20 to 39.50. According to the industry distribution chart, Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing ranks #999999 out of 17 companies in the Forest Products industry.
Is Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) too high?
Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) of €0.31 is 76% below median its 10-year median of 1.29. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.20 to a high of 39.50. Based on the distribution chart, Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing ranks #999999 out of 17 companies in the Forest Products industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing has a GF Score™ of 79/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) compare to competitors?
According to the Forest Products industry distribution chart, Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing ranks #999999 out of 17 companies for Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based). This places Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is 1.80. Historically, Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's own Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) has ranged from 0.20 to 39.50 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for a Forest Products company?
The median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) among Forest Products companies is 1.80, based on 17 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted free cash flow model. View historical data on Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing and its competitors. For the Forest Products industry, the median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is 1.80 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is €0.31, which is 76% below median its own 10-year median of 1.29. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing stock overvalued right now?
Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing (FRA:LMP) has a current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) of €0.31. The stock's GF Value™ is €0.30, compared to a current price of €0.42 — trading 40% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is €0.31, which is 76% below median its 10-year median of 1.29. Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's overall GF Score™ is 79/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) calculated?
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing (FRA:LMP), the current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is €0.31 as of Aug. 23, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing (FRA:LMP) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €0.42 is trading 40% above its estimated GF Value™ of €0.30.

Key valuation signals for FRA:LMP:

  • Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based): €0.31 (76% below median its 10-year median of 1.29)
  • GF Value™: €0.30 vs. price of €0.42 (40% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 79/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:LMP stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Business Description

Other Exchanges LMPMY:USA02314:Hong Kong
Address 169 Electric Road, 39th Floor, Lee & Man Commercial Center, North Point, Hong Kong, HKG
Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Ltd is an investment holding company engaged in the manufacturing and trading of paper and pulp. Its segments are Packaging Paper, Pulp, and Tissue paper. The majority of the revenue is generated from the packaging paper segment that covers the production of kraft liner board, test liner board, coated duplex board, white top liner board, and strength corrugating medium. Its products include Wood pulp products, Boxboard paper products, Pink Gray Card Products, and Toilet Paper Products. The company generates maximum revenue from PRC, and also has its presence in Malaysia; Vietnam; and Hong Kong, Macau and others.
79GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:LMP

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€0.42
Price
€0.30
GF Value