Sight Sciences (Sight Sciences) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $-9.53 (As of May. 22, 2024)

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What is Sight Sciences Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-05-22), Sight Sciences's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $-9.53.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Sight Sciences's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Sight Sciences is N/A.

The industry rank for Sight Sciences's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

SGHT's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked ^*
in the Medical Devices & Instruments industry.
Industry Median: 1.96
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Sight Sciences Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Sight Sciences's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Sight Sciences Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Sight Sciences Annual Data

Trend

Dec18

Dec19

Dec20

Dec21

Dec22

Dec23

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

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Sight Sciences Quarterly Data
	Dec18	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22	Dec22	Mar23	Jun23	Sep23	Dec23	Mar24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	Get a 7-Day Free Trial														-	-	-	-	-

Competitive Comparison of Sight Sciences's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Medical Devices subindustry, Sight Sciences's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Sight Sciences's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Medical Devices & Instruments Industry

For the Medical Devices & Instruments industry and Healthcare sector, Sight Sciences's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sight Sciences's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.

Sight Sciences Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.44%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Sight Sciences's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 5 years was -20.70%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $-0.826.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Sight Sciences's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	=	Free Cash Flow per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Free Cash Flow per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Free Cash Flow per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

-0.826

11.5406

-9.53

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
	=	(-9.53	-	5.46)	/	-9.53
	=	N/A

Sight Sciences (NAS:SGHT) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

Sight Sciences Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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Sight Sciences (Sight Sciences) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Medical Devices & Instruments » Sight Sciences Inc (NAS:SGHT) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

4040 Campbell Avenue, Suite 100, Menlo Park, CA, USA, 94025

Website

https://www.sightsciences.com

Sight Sciences Inc is an ophthalmic medical device company focused on the development and commercialization of surgical and nonsurgical technologies for the treatment of prevalent eye diseases. Its Surgical Glaucoma segment's product portfolio features the OMNI Surgical System, a device that facilitates the performance of both canaloplasty and trabeculotomy with a single device and single corneal incision to reduce intraocular pressure in adult patients with primary open-angle glaucoma. The company's Dry Eye segment's product portfolio consists of the TearCare System for ophthalmologists and optometrists. It derives key revenue from the Surgical Glaucoma segment.

Executives

Jeremy B. Hayden	officer: Chief Legal Officer	2 MUSICK, 2 MUSICK, IRVINE CA 92618
Sam Boong Park	officer: Chief Operating Officer	C/O SIGHT SCIENCES, INC., 4040 CAMPBELL AVENUE, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Paul Badawi	director, 10 percent owner, officer: President and CEO	C/O SIGHT SCIENCES, INC., 4040 CAMPBELL AVENUE, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
David Badawi	director, officer: Chief Technology Officer	C/O SIGHT SCIENCES, INC., 4040 CAMPBELL AVENUE, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
D1 Capital Partners L.p.	10 percent owner	9 WEST 57TH STREET, 36TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Staffan Encrantz	director	C/O SIGHT SCIENCES, INC., 4040 CAMPBELL AVENUE, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Matthew Link	officer: Chief Commercial Officer	7475 LUSK BLVD, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Catherine Mazzacco	director	C/O KRYSTAL BIOTECH, INC., 2100 WHARTON STREET, SUITE 701, PITTSBURGH PA 15203
Alison Bauerlein	officer: See remarks	326 BOLLAY DRIVE, GOLETA CA 93117
James Rodberg	officer: See Remarks	C/O SIGHT SCIENCES, INC., 4040 CAMPBELL AVE., SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Tamara Fountain	director	C/O RXSIGHT, INC., 100 COLUMBIA, ALISO VIEJO CA 92656
Brenda Jane Larsen-becker	director	C/O SIGHT SCIENCES, INC., 3000 SAND HILL ROAD, BUILDING 3, STE 105, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Jesse Selnick	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O SIGHT SCIENCES, INC., 4040 CAMPBELL AVENUE, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Daniel S. Sundheim	10 percent owner	C/O D1 CAPITAL PARTNERS L.P., 9 WEST 57TH STREET, 36TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Erica J. Rogers	director	C/O SILK ROAD MEDICAL, INC., 1213 INNSBRUCK DRIVE, SUNNYVALE CA 94089