Aurubis AG (XSWX:NDA) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based): CHF-72.34 (As of Aug. 12, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

XSWX:NDA Aurubis AG XSWX:NDA
74 GF Score
Price CHF163.90
GF Value CHF96.47
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Aurubis AG Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

Aurubis AG XSWX:NDA 74 Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is CHF-72.34 as of Aug. 12, 2026. GuruFocus rates XSWX:NDA with a GF Score™ of 74/100 and a GF Value™ of CHF96.47 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 347 Industrial Products companies, Aurubis AG ranks worse than 288184.15% on this metric.

As of today (2026-08-12), Aurubis AG's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is CHF-72.34.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Aurubis AG's Predictability Rank is 2.5-Stars.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Aurubis AG is N/A.

The industry rank for Aurubis AG's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

XSWX:NDA's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Industrial Products industry.
Industry Median: 1.53
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Aurubis AG  (XSWX:NDA) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Aurubis AG Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms


Aurubis AG Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Aurubis AG's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Aurubis AG Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Aurubis AG Annual Data
Trend Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23 Sep24 Sep25
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Aurubis AG Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 -1.38 -74.02

XSWX:NDA vs CRS, ATI, MLI: Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Comparison

For the Metal Fabrication subindustry, Aurubis AG's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Aurubis AG Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) vs Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Aurubis AG's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aurubis AG's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.


XSWX:NDA
74GF Score
Aurubis AG XSWX:NDA
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Aurubis AG Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 9%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 2.97%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Aurubis AG's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was -15.90%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = CHF-5.338.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Aurubis AG's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.09) = 0.96330275229358
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.09) = 0.95412844036697

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-5.338*13.5514
=-72.34

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(-72.34-163.90)/-72.34
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) of CHF-72.34 mean?
Aurubis AG (XSWX:NDA) has a Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) of CHF-72.34 as of Aug. 12, 2026. Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted free cash flow model. View historical data on Aurubis AG and its competitors. Over the past decade, Aurubis AG's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) has ranged from 2.84 to 2.84. According to the industry distribution chart, Aurubis AG ranks #999999 out of 347 companies in the Industrial Products industry.
Is Aurubis AG's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) too high?
Aurubis AG's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is CHF-72.34. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 2.84 to a high of 2.84. Based on the distribution chart, Aurubis AG ranks #999999 out of 347 companies in the Industrial Products industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Aurubis AG has a GF Score™ of 74/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Aurubis AG's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) compare to CRS and ATI?
According to the Industrial Products industry distribution chart, Aurubis AG ranks #999999 out of 347 companies for Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based). This places Aurubis AG in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is 1.53. Historically, Aurubis AG's own Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) has ranged from 2.84 to 2.84 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for an Industrial Products company?
The median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) among Industrial Products companies is 1.53, based on 347 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted free cash flow model. View historical data on Aurubis AG and its competitors. For the Industrial Products industry, the median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is 1.53 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Aurubis AG's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is CHF-72.34. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Aurubis AG stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Aurubis AG (XSWX:NDA) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is CHF96.47, compared to a current price of CHF163.90 — trading 69.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is CHF-72.34. Aurubis AG's overall GF Score™ is 74/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) calculated?
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Aurubis AG (XSWX:NDA), the current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is CHF-72.34 as of Aug. 12, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Aurubis AG (XSWX:NDA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Aurubis AG stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of CHF163.90 is trading 69.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of CHF96.47. GuruFocus considers Aurubis AG to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for XSWX:NDA:

  • Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based): CHF-72.34
  • GF Value™: CHF96.47 vs. price of CHF163.90 (69.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 74/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XSWX:NDA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Aurubis AG Business Description

Address Hovestrasse 50, Hamburg, BY, DEU, 20539
Aurubis AG produces copper, using raw materials which include copper concentrates and recycling materials. The company also produces precious metals such as gold and silver and a range of other products, including sulfuric acid and iron silicate, as byproducts of copper production. Revenue is predominantly generated through the sale of continuous cast wire rods, copper cathodes, precious metals, and continuous cast shapes, used in the manufacture of cables and wires, which are used in electrical applications. It has two segments, Multimetal Recycling and Custom Smelting & Products, which is the key revenue-generating segment. The company is based in Germany and has production sites across Europe and the United States.
74GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XSWX:NDA

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

CHF163.90
Price
CHF96.47
GF Value