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Apple (AAPL) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $85.81 (As of Jun. 18, 2024)


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What is Apple Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-06-18), Apple's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $85.81. The stock price of Apple is $216.67. Therefore, Apple's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Apple's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

AAPL' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.67   Med: 1.13   Max: 2.66
Current: 2.52

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Apple was 2.66. The lowest was 0.67. And the median was 1.13.

AAPL's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
70.84% of 1629 companies
in the Hardware industry
Industry Median: 1.45 vs AAPL: 2.52

Apple Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Apple's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Apple Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Apple Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 48.58 47.25 60.85 71.25 80.90

Apple Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 75.86 78.31 80.90 85.92 85.81

Competitive Comparison of Apple's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Consumer Electronics subindustry, Apple's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Apple's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Apple's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Apple's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Apple Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Apple's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $85,292.16.

Apple's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*85292.16+74194*0.8)/15464.709
=85.81

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Apple  (NAS:AAPL) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Apple's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=216.67/85.809762355156
=2.53

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Apple Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Apple's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Apple (AAPL) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » Apple Inc (NAS:AAPL) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Address
One Apple Park Way, Cupertino, CA, USA, 95014
Apple is among the largest companies in the world, with a broad portfolio of hardware and software products targeted at consumers and businesses. Apple's iPhone makes up a majority of the firm sales, and Apple's other products like Mac, iPad, and Watch are designed around the iPhone as the focal point of an expansive software ecosystem. Apple has progressively worked to add new applications, like streaming video, subscription bundles, and augmented reality. The firm designs its own software and semiconductors while working with subcontractors like Foxconn and TSMC to build its products and chips. Slightly less than half of Apple's sales come directly through its flagship stores, with a majority of sales coming indirectly through partnerships and distribution.
Executives
Chris Kondo officer: Principal Accounting Officer 1 INFINITE LOOP, CUPERTINO CA 95014
Katherine L. Adams officer: SVP, General Counsel APPLE INC., 1 INFINITE LOOP, CUPERTINO CA 95014
Luca Maestri officer: Senior Vice President, CFO 1 INFINITE LOOP, CUPERTINO CA 95014
Jeffrey E Williams officer: COO ONE INFINITE LOOP, CUPERTINO CA 95014
Deirdre O'brien officer: Senior Vice President ONE APPLE PARK WAY, CUPERTINO CA 95014
Timothy D Cook director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O APPLE INC, ONE INFINITE LOOP, CUPERTINO CA 95014
Arthur D Levinson director C/O GENENTECH INC, 1 DNA WAY MS 49, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080-4990
Alex Gorsky director JOHNSON & JOHNSON, ONE JOHNSON & JOHNSON PLAZA, NEW BRUNSWICK NJ 08933
Monica C Lozano director
Angela J Ahrendts officer: Senior Vice President 1 INFINITE LOOP, CUPERTINO CA 95014
Johny Srouji officer: Senior Vice President 1 INFINITE LOOP, CUPERTINO CA 95014
Craig Federighi officer: Senior Vice President 807 11TH AVENUE, SUNNYVALE CA 94089
Daniel J. Riccio officer: Senior Vice President 1 INFINITE LOOP, CUPERTINO CA 95014
Philip W Schiller officer: Senior Vice President C/O APPLE INC, ONE INFINITE LOOP, CUPERTINO CA 95014
Susan Wagner director C/O BLACKROCK, INC., 40 EAST 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10022

Apple (AAPL) Headlines

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