ADVOF (Adtran Networks SE) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $7.33 (As of Jul. 27, 2026) — 314% Above Median

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ADVOF Adtran Networks SE ADVOF
55 GF Score
Price $24.19
GF Value $20.98
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Adtran Networks SE Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Adtran Networks SE ADVOF 55 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $7.33 as of Jul. 27, 2026, which is 314% above its 10-year median of 1.77. GuruFocus rates ADVOF with a GF Score™ of 55/100 and a GF Value™ of $20.98. The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,709 Hardware companies, Adtran Networks SE ranks worse than 70.1% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-07-27), Adtran Networks SE's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $7.33. The stock price of Adtran Networks SE is $24.19. Therefore, Adtran Networks SE's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 3.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Adtran Networks SE's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ADVOF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.2   Med: 1.77   Max: 3.3
Current: 3.3

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Adtran Networks SE was 3.30. The lowest was 1.20. And the median was 1.77.

ADVOF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
70.1% of 1709 companies
in the Hardware industry
Industry Median: 1.65 vs ADVOF: 3.30

Adtran Networks SE  (OTCPK:ADVOF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Adtran Networks SE's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=24.19/8.3829452084001
=2.89

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Adtran Networks SE Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Adtran Networks SE Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Adtran Networks SE's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Adtran Networks SE Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Adtran Networks SE Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.94 7.41 6.70 7.43 7.77

Adtran Networks SE Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.70 8.02 7.43 7.08 7.77

ADVOF vs CSCO, MSI, HPE: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Communication Equipment subindustry, Adtran Networks SE's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Adtran Networks SE Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Adtran Networks SE's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Adtran Networks SE's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


ADVOF
55GF Score
Adtran Networks SE ADVOF
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Adtran Networks SE Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Adtran Networks SE's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $7.66.

Adtran Networks SE's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec25)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*7.6588571428571+454.324*0.8)/52.055
=8.38

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $7.33 mean?
Adtran Networks SE (ADVOF) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $7.33 as of Jul. 27, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Adtran Networks SE and its competitors. This is 314% above median its historical median of 1.77. Over the past decade, Adtran Networks SE's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 1.20 to 3.30. According to the industry distribution chart, Adtran Networks SE ranks #1198 out of 1709 companies in the Hardware industry, placing it in the top 70.1%.
Is Adtran Networks SE's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Adtran Networks SE's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $7.33 is 314% above median its 10-year median of 1.77. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.20 to a high of 3.30. The Hardware industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.65. Adtran Networks SE's value of $7.33 is 344.2% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Adtran Networks SE ranks #1198 out of 1709 companies in the Hardware industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Adtran Networks SE has a GF Score™ of 55/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Adtran Networks SE's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to CSCO and MSI?
According to the Hardware industry distribution chart, Adtran Networks SE ranks #1198 out of 1709 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Adtran Networks SE in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.65. Adtran Networks SE's value of $7.33 is 344.2% above this benchmark. Historically, Adtran Networks SE's own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 1.20 to 3.30 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.77 vs. the industry median of 1.65, Adtran Networks SE has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Hardware company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Hardware companies is 1.65, based on 1,709 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Adtran Networks SE's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $7.33 is 344.2% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Adtran Networks SE and its competitors. For the Hardware industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.65 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Adtran Networks SE's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $7.33, which is 314% above median its own 10-year median of 1.77. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Adtran Networks SE stock overvalued right now?
Adtran Networks SE (ADVOF) has a current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $7.33. The stock's GF Value™ is $20.98, compared to a current price of $24.19 — trading 15.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $7.33, which is 314% above median its 10-year median of 1.77 and 344.2% above the Hardware industry median of 1.65. Adtran Networks SE's overall GF Score™ is 55/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Adtran Networks SE (ADVOF), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $7.33 as of Jul. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Adtran Networks SE (ADVOF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Adtran Networks SE stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $24.19 is trading 15.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of $20.98.

Key valuation signals for ADVOF:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $7.33 (314% above median its 10-year median of 1.77)
  • GF Value™: $20.98 vs. price of $24.19 (15.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 55/100 with 4 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 344.2% above the Hardware median (#1198 of 1709)

No single metric tells the full story. See the ADVOF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Adtran Networks SE Business Description

Other Exchanges 0NOL:UKADV:Germany
Address 901 Explorer Boulevard, Huntsville, AL, USA, 35806-2807
Adtran Networks SE develops, manufactures, and sells optical and Ethernet-based networking solutions to telecommunications carriers and enterprises to deliver data, storage, voice, and video services. Company segment includes: Network Solutions; and Services and Support,These systems are used by telecommunications service providers, private companies, universities, and government agencies. Some of its product categories are Open optical transport, Packet edge and aggregation, Disaggregated networking, Network virtualization, Network infrastructure assurance, and Automated network management. ADVA's geographical segments are United States, United Kingdom, Germany and Other international generating key revenue from United States.
55GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ADVOF

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$24.19
Price
$20.98
GF Value