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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2024-12-11), Ambarella's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $16.16. The stock price of Ambarella is $72.22. Therefore, Ambarella's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 4.5.
The historical rank and industry rank for Ambarella's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Ambarella was 7.54. The lowest was 1.12. And the median was 2.29.
The historical data trend for Ambarella's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Ambarella Annual Data | |||||||||||||||||||||
Trend | Jan15 | Jan16 | Jan17 | Jan18 | Jan19 | Jan20 | Jan21 | Jan22 | Jan23 | Jan24 | |||||||||||
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | 30.32 | 28.64 | 25.57 | 22.51 | 17.65 |
Ambarella Quarterly Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Jan20 | Apr20 | Jul20 | Oct20 | Jan21 | Apr21 | Jul21 | Oct21 | Jan22 | Apr22 | Jul22 | Oct22 | Jan23 | Apr23 | Jul23 | Oct23 | Jan24 | Apr24 | Jul24 | Oct24 | |
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | 19.66 | 17.65 | 15.91 | 16.16 | - |
For the Semiconductor Equipment & Materials subindustry, Ambarella's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Semiconductors industry and Technology sector, Ambarella's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Ambarella's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Ambarella's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $23.58.
Ambarella's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | = | (Growth Multiple | * | Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) | + | Total Stockholders Equity (Oct24) | * | 0.8) | / | Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) |
= | (9.5203515959648 | * | 23.58368 | + | 554.295 | * | 0.8) | / | 41.479 | |
= | 16.10 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Ambarella (NAS:AMBA) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Ambarella's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF | = | Share Price | / | Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF |
= | 72.22 | / | 16.103592794588 | |
= | 4.48 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Ambarella's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Christopher Day | officer: See Remarks | 2975 SAN YSIDRO WAY, SANTA CLARA CA 95051 |
Christopher B Paisley | director | 14870 THREE OAKS COURT, SARATOGA CA 95070 |
Elizabeth M Schwarting | director | 3101 JAY STREET, SANTA CLARA CA 95054 |
Chi-hong Ju | officer: Sr. Vice President, Systems | 3101 JAY STREET, SANTA CLARA CA 95054 |
Chan W Lee | officer: Chief Operating Officer | 3101 JAY STREET, SANTA CLARA CA 95054 |
Feng-ming Wang | director, officer: Chief Executive Officer | 2975 SAN YSIDRO WAY, SANTA CLARA CA 95051 |
Leslie Kohn | director, officer: Chief Technology Officer | 2975 SAN YSIDRO WAY, SANTA CLARA CA 95051 |
Yun-lung Chen | officer: Vice President, Sales | 3101 JAY STREET, SANTA CLARA CA 95054 |
Brian C White | officer: CFO | C/O INTEGRATED DEVICE TECHNOLOGY, INC., 6024 SILVER CREEK VALLEY ROAD, SAN JOSE CA 95138 |
David Jeffrey Richardson | director | LSI LOGIC CORP, 1621 BARBER LANE, MILPITAS CA 95035 |
Kevin C Eichler | officer: CFO | C/O AMBARELLA, INC., 3101 JAY STREET, SANTA CLARA CA 95054 |
Andrew W Verhalen | director | C/O MATRIX PARTNERS, 250 HOMER AVE SUITE 201, PALO ALTO CA 94301 |
Greef-safft Anne De | director | 11 KEEWAYDIN DRIVE, SUITE 300, SALEM NH 03079 |
Teresa H Meng | director | 2535 VALLEJO STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94123 |
Chenming Hu | director | 2060 PEBBLE DRIVE, ALAMO CA 94507 |
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