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AST SpaceMobileASTS -0.76%45 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-11.12 as of Aug. 16, 2026. GuruFocus rates ASTS with a GF Score™ of 45/100 and a GF Value™ of $521.59 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,701 Hardware companies, AST SpaceMobile ranks worse than 58788.89% on this metric.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2026-08-16), AST SpaceMobile's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-11.12. The stock price of AST SpaceMobile is $70.98. Therefore, AST SpaceMobile's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.
The historical rank and industry rank for AST SpaceMobile's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
ASTS's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Hardware industry.
Industry Median: 1.73 * Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
AST SpaceMobile's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
70.98
/
-11.122736626895
=
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
AST SpaceMobile Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
AST SpaceMobile Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for AST SpaceMobile's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
ASTS vs ZBRA, VSAT, VIAV: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison
For the Communication Equipment subindustry, AST SpaceMobile's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
AST SpaceMobile Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Hardware Industry
For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, AST SpaceMobile's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where AST SpaceMobile's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $-11.12 mean?
AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $-11.12 as of Aug. 16, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on AST SpaceMobile and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, AST SpaceMobile ranks #999999 out of 1701 companies in the Hardware industry.
Is AST SpaceMobile's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
AST SpaceMobile's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-11.12. Based on the distribution chart, AST SpaceMobile ranks #999999 out of 1701 companies in the Hardware industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, AST SpaceMobile has a GF Score™ of 45/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does AST SpaceMobile's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to ZBRA and VSAT?
According to the Hardware industry distribution chart, AST SpaceMobile ranks #999999 out of 1701 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places AST SpaceMobile in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.73. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Hardware company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Hardware companies is 1.73, based on 1,701 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on AST SpaceMobile and its competitors. For the Hardware industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.73 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. AST SpaceMobile's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-11.12. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is AST SpaceMobile stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is $521.59, compared to a current price of $70.98 — trading 86.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-11.12. AST SpaceMobile's overall GF Score™ is 45/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For AST SpaceMobile (ASTS), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-11.12 as of Aug. 16, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, AST SpaceMobile stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of $70.98 is trading 86.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of $521.59.
GuruFocus considers AST SpaceMobile to be Possible Value Trap.
Key valuation signals for ASTS:
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $-11.12
GF Value™: $521.59 vs. price of $70.98 (86.4% below fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the ASTS stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
AST SpaceMobile Inc is currently designing, developing and manufacturing the constellation of BlueBird (BB) satellites and has begun launching its planned space-based Cellular Broadband network distributed through a constellation of low Earth orbit (LEO) satellites. The company is building a cellular broadband network in space to operate directly with standard, unmodified mobile devices, and off-the-shelf mobile phones based on extensive IP and patent portfolio. It has focused on eliminating the connectivity gaps faced by mobile subscribers. The Company's spaceMobile Service is being designed to provide cost-effective, high-speed Cellular Broadband services to end-users who are out of terrestrial cellular coverage using existing mobile devices.
45GF Score
Get the complete analysis for ASTS
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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