Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.
Aurelia MetalsASX:AMI +5.43%50 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.36 as of Sep. 21, 2026. GuruFocus rates ASX:AMI with a GF Score™ of 50/100 and a GF Value™ of A$0.30 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 657 Metals & Mining companies, Aurelia Metals ranks better than 69.25% on this metric.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2026-09-21), Aurelia Metals's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.36. The stock price of Aurelia Metals is A$0.485. Therefore, Aurelia Metals's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.4.
The historical rank and industry rank for Aurelia Metals's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
ASX:AMI'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.17 Med: 0.58 Max: 2.64
Current: 1.35
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Aurelia Metals was 2.64. The lowest was 0.17. And the median was 0.58.
ASX:AMI's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than 69.25% of 657
companies
in the Metals & Mining industry
Industry Median: 2.34
vs ASX:AMI: 1.35
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Aurelia Metals's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
0.485
/
0.40606265366818
=
1.19
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Aurelia Metals Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Aurelia Metals Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Aurelia Metals's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
For the Other Industrial Metals & Mining subindustry, Aurelia Metals's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Aurelia Metals Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Metals & Mining Industry
For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Aurelia Metals's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Aurelia Metals's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of A$0.36 mean?
Aurelia Metals (ASX:AMI) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of A$0.36 as of Sep. 21, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Aurelia Metals and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Aurelia Metals ranks #202 out of 657 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 30.7%.
Is Aurelia Metals' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Aurelia Metals' current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.36. Based on the distribution chart, Aurelia Metals ranks #202 out of 657 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Aurelia Metals has a GF Score™ of 50/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Aurelia Metals' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to competitors?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Aurelia Metals ranks #202 out of 657 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This puts Aurelia Metals in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.34. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Metals & Mining company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Metals & Mining companies is 2.34, based on 657 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Aurelia Metals and its competitors. For the Metals & Mining industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.34 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Aurelia Metals's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.36. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Aurelia Metals stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Aurelia Metals (ASX:AMI) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$0.30, compared to a current price of A$0.49 — trading 61.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.36. Aurelia Metals' overall GF Score™ is 50/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Aurelia Metals (ASX:AMI), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.36 as of Sep. 21, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Aurelia Metals (ASX:AMI) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Aurelia Metals stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of A$0.49 is trading 61.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of A$0.30.
GuruFocus considers Aurelia Metals to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for ASX:AMI:
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: A$0.36
GF Value™: A$0.30 vs. price of A$0.49 (61.7% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:AMI stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Aurelia Metals Ltd is an Australian mining and exploration company with a strategic landholding in the Cobar Basin of western New South Wales. It operates three underground base metal mines across its Peak and Federation operations. The consolidated group's principal activities include the production of gold, silver, copper, lead, and zinc, as well as mineral exploration. The Company is processing the Great Cobar Project, a consented high-grade copper development located at Peak. The company's segments include the Peak Mine and Hera Mine project, with the majority of revenue generated from Peak Mine.
50GF Score
Get the complete analysis for ASX:AMI
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
Quick Browse
Personalize
Premium Gurus 
Create New Portfolio
ASX:AMI has been successfully added to your 
