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Aurelia MetalsASX:AMI +6.90%54 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00% as of Jun. 2025. GuruFocus rates ASX:AMI with a GF Score™ of 54/100 and a GF Value™ of A$0.26 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 447 Metals & Mining companies, Aurelia Metals ranks better than 56.38% on this metric.
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Aurelia Metals's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.
The historical rank and industry rank for Aurelia Metals's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
ASX:AMI'
s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 10.28 Med: 12.98 Max: 21.02
Current: 10.28
During the past 13 years, Aurelia Metals's highest Forward Rate of Return was 21.02. The lowest was 10.28. And the median was 12.98.
ASX:AMI's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than 56.38% of 447
companies
in the Metals & Mining industry
Industry Median: 9.39
vs ASX:AMI: 10.28
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
Aurelia Metals (ASX:AMI) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
Aurelia Metals Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Aurelia Metals Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Aurelia Metals's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Aurelia Metals Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
Aurelia Metals Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Competitor Comparison
For the Other Industrial Metals & Mining subindustry, Aurelia Metals's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Aurelia Metals Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Metals & Mining Industry
For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Aurelia Metals's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Aurelia Metals's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
Aurelia Metals Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 0.00% mean?
Aurelia Metals (ASX:AMI) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 0.00% as of Jun. 2025. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Aurelia Metals and its competitors. Over the past decade, Aurelia Metals' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 10.28 to 21.02. According to the industry distribution chart, Aurelia Metals ranks #195 out of 447 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 43.6%.
Is Aurelia Metals' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Aurelia Metals' current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00%. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 10.28 to a high of 21.02. Based on the distribution chart, Aurelia Metals ranks #195 out of 447 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Aurelia Metals has a GF Score™ of 54/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Aurelia Metals' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to competitors?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Aurelia Metals ranks #195 out of 447 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This puts Aurelia Metals in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 9.39. Historically, Aurelia Metals' own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 10.28 to 21.02 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Metals & Mining company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Metals & Mining companies is 9.39, based on 447 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Aurelia Metals and its competitors. For the Metals & Mining industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 9.39 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Aurelia Metals's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Aurelia Metals stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Aurelia Metals (ASX:AMI) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$0.26, compared to a current price of A$0.47 — trading 78.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00%. Aurelia Metals' overall GF Score™ is 54/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Aurelia Metals (ASX:AMI), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00% as of Jun. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Aurelia Metals (ASX:AMI) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Aurelia Metals stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of A$0.47 is trading 78.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of A$0.26.
GuruFocus considers Aurelia Metals to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for ASX:AMI:
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 0.00%
GF Value™: A$0.26 vs. price of A$0.47 (78.8% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:AMI stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Aurelia Metals Ltd is an Australian mining and exploration company with a strategic landholding in the Cobar Basin of western New South Wales. It operates three underground base metal mines across its Peak and Federation operations. The consolidated group's principal activities include the production of gold, silver, copper, lead, and zinc, as well as mineral exploration. The Company is processing the Great Cobar Project, a consented high-grade copper development located at Peak. The company's segments include the Peak Mine and Hera Mine project, with the majority of revenue generated from Peak Mine.
54GF Score
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