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Australian VintageASX:AVG -1.23% Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.30 as of Sep. 09, 2026. The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 154 Beverages - Alcoholic companies, Australian Vintage ranks better than 96.1% on this metric.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2026-09-09), Australian Vintage's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.30. The stock price of Australian Vintage is A$0.08. Therefore, Australian Vintage's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.3.
The historical rank and industry rank for Australian Vintage's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
ASX:AVG'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.17 Med: 0.46 Max: 0.67
Current: 0.27
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Australian Vintage was 0.67. The lowest was 0.17. And the median was 0.46.
ASX:AVG's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than 96.1% of 154
companies
in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry
Industry Median: 1
vs ASX:AVG: 0.27
Australian Vintage (ASX:AVG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Australian Vintage's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
0.08
/
0.30150047170965
=
0.27
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Australian Vintage Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Australian Vintage Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Australian Vintage's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Australian Vintage Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart
ASX:AVG vs BF.B: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison
For the Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries subindustry, Australian Vintage's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Australian Vintage Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Beverages - Alcoholic Industry
For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Australian Vintage's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Australian Vintage's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Australian Vintage Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of A$0.30 mean?
Australian Vintage (ASX:AVG) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of A$0.30 as of Sep. 09, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Australian Vintage and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Australian Vintage ranks #6 out of 154 companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, placing it in the top 3.9%.
Is Australian Vintage's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Australian Vintage's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.30. Based on the distribution chart, Australian Vintage ranks #6 out of 154 companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers.
How does Australian Vintage's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to BF.B?
According to the Beverages - Alcoholic industry distribution chart, Australian Vintage ranks #6 out of 154 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Australian Vintage in the top 4% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.00. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Beverages - Alcoholic company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Beverages - Alcoholic companies is 1.00, based on 154 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Australian Vintage and its competitors. For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.00 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Australian Vintage's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.30. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Australian Vintage stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Australian Vintage (ASX:AVG) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$0.11, compared to a current price of A$0.08 — trading 27.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.30. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Australian Vintage (ASX:AVG), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$0.30 as of Sep. 09, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Australian Vintage Ltd is principally engaged in winemaking, wine marketing, and vineyard management in Australia. Its geographical segments are Australia / New Zealand; UK, Europe and Americas, and Asia. The company derives a majority of revenue from UK, Europe and Americas segment. UK, Europe and Americas segment is engaged in the packaging, sales, and marketing of wine in the United Kingdom, Europe and the Americas through wholesale, distributor and retail channels.
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