Mayfield Childcare (ASX:MFD) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: A$1.46 (As of Aug. 20, 2026) — 317% Above Median

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

ASX:MFD Mayfield Childcare Ltd ASX:MFD
33 GF Score
Price A$0.11
GF Value A$0.61
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 7 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Mayfield Childcare Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Mayfield Childcare ASX:MFD +4.76% 33 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$1.46 as of Aug. 20, 2026, which is 100% below its 10-year median of 0.35. GuruFocus rates ASX:MFD with a GF Score™ of 33/100 and a GF Value™ of A$0.61 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 65 Personal Services companies, Mayfield Childcare ranks better than 98.46% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-08-20), Mayfield Childcare's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$1.46. The stock price of Mayfield Childcare is A$0.11. Therefore, Mayfield Childcare's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for Mayfield Childcare's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:MFD' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.07   Med: 0.35   Max: 0.61
Current: 0.08

During the past 10 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Mayfield Childcare was 0.61. The lowest was 0.07. And the median was 0.35.

ASX:MFD's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
98.46% of 65 companies
in the Personal Services industry
Industry Median: 1.1 vs ASX:MFD: 0.08

Mayfield Childcare  (ASX:MFD) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Mayfield Childcare's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.11/1.4621705674426
=0.08

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Mayfield Childcare Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Mayfield Childcare Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Mayfield Childcare's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Mayfield Childcare Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Mayfield Childcare Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 2.02 1.66 1.74 1.46

Mayfield Childcare Semi-Annual Data
Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.66 0.00 1.74 0.00 1.46

ASX:MFD vs ROL, SCI, HRB: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Personal Services subindustry, Mayfield Childcare's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Mayfield Childcare Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Personal Services Industry

For the Personal Services industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Mayfield Childcare's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mayfield Childcare's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


ASX:MFD
33GF Score
Mayfield Childcare Ltd ASX:MFD
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Mayfield Childcare Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Mayfield Childcare's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = A$8.90.

Mayfield Childcare's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec25)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*8.8978571428571+48.398*0.8)/84.415
=1.46

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of A$1.46 mean?
Mayfield Childcare (ASX:MFD) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of A$1.46 as of Aug. 20, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Mayfield Childcare and its competitors. This is 317% above median its historical median of 0.35. Over the past decade, Mayfield Childcare's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.07 to 0.61. According to the industry distribution chart, Mayfield Childcare ranks #1 out of 65 companies in the Personal Services industry, placing it in the top 1.5%.
Is Mayfield Childcare's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Mayfield Childcare's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of A$1.46 is 317% above median its 10-year median of 0.35. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.07 to a high of 0.61. Based on the distribution chart, Mayfield Childcare ranks #1 out of 65 companies in the Personal Services industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Mayfield Childcare has a GF Score™ of 33/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Mayfield Childcare's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to ROL and SCI?
According to the Personal Services industry distribution chart, Mayfield Childcare ranks #1 out of 65 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Mayfield Childcare in the top 2% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.10. Historically, Mayfield Childcare's own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.07 to 0.61 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Personal Services company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Personal Services companies is 1.10, based on 65 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Mayfield Childcare and its competitors. For the Personal Services industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.10 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Mayfield Childcare's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$1.46, which is 317% above median its own 10-year median of 0.35. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Mayfield Childcare stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Mayfield Childcare (ASX:MFD) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is A$0.61, compared to a current price of A$0.11 — trading 82% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$1.46, which is 317% above median its 10-year median of 0.35. Mayfield Childcare's overall GF Score™ is 33/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Mayfield Childcare (ASX:MFD), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$1.46 as of Aug. 20, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Mayfield Childcare (ASX:MFD) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Mayfield Childcare stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of A$0.11 is trading 82% below its estimated GF Value™ of A$0.61. GuruFocus considers Mayfield Childcare to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for ASX:MFD:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: A$1.46 (317% above median its 10-year median of 0.35)
  • GF Value™: A$0.61 vs. price of A$0.11 (82% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 33/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:MFD stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Mayfield Childcare Business Description

Address 108 Power Street, Suite 1, Level 3, Hawthorn, Melbourne, VIC, AUS, 3122
Mayfield Childcare Ltd provides a combination of care and education services for children. It operates long day childcare (LDC) centres in Victoria, Queensland, and South Australia.
33GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ASX:MFD

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$0.11
Price
A$0.61
GF Value