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AritziaATZAF -1.07%90 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $24.36 as of Sep. 12, 2026. GuruFocus rates ATZAF with a GF Score™ of 90/100 and a GF Value™ of $61.12 (Significantly Overvalued). Among 764 Retail - Cyclical companies, Aritzia ranks worse than 90.71% on this metric.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2026-09-12), Aritzia's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $24.36. The stock price of Aritzia is $88.57. Therefore, Aritzia's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 3.6.
The historical rank and industry rank for Aritzia's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
ATZAF'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.3 Med: 2.79 Max: 4.6
Current: 3.64
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Aritzia was 4.60. The lowest was 1.30. And the median was 2.79.
ATZAF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than 90.71% of 764
companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 0.74
vs ATZAF: 3.64
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Aritzia's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
88.57
/
24.673595996318
=
3.59
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Aritzia Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Aritzia Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Aritzia's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
ATZAF vs TJX, ROST, BURL: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison
For the Apparel Retail subindustry, Aritzia's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Aritzia Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Retail - Cyclical Industry
For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Aritzia's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Aritzia's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $24.36 mean?
Aritzia (ATZAF) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $24.36 as of Sep. 12, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Aritzia and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Aritzia ranks #693 out of 764 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, placing it in the top 90.7%.
Is Aritzia's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Aritzia's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $24.36. The Retail - Cyclical industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.74. Aritzia's value of $24.36 is 3191.9% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Aritzia ranks #693 out of 764 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Aritzia has a GF Score™ of 90/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Aritzia's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to TJX and ROST?
According to the Retail - Cyclical industry distribution chart, Aritzia ranks #693 out of 764 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Aritzia in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.74. Aritzia's value of $24.36 is 3191.9% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Retail - Cyclical company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Retail - Cyclical companies is 0.74, based on 764 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Aritzia's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $24.36 is 3191.9% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Aritzia and its competitors. For the Retail - Cyclical industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.74 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Aritzia's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $24.36. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Aritzia stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Aritzia (ATZAF) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $61.12, compared to a current price of $88.57 — trading 44.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $24.36 and 3191.9% above the Retail - Cyclical industry median of 0.74. Aritzia's overall GF Score™ is 90/100. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Aritzia (ATZAF), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $24.36 as of Sep. 12, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Aritzia (ATZAF) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Aritzia stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $88.57 is trading 44.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of $61.12.
GuruFocus considers Aritzia to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for ATZAF:
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $24.36
GF Value™: $61.12 vs. price of $88.57 (44.9% above fair value)
Industry Position: 3191.9% above the Retail - Cyclical median (#693 of 764)
No single metric tells the full story. See the ATZAF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Aritzia Inc is an integrated design house of exclusive fashion brands. It designs apparel and accessories for its collection of exclusive brands and sells them under the Aritzia banner. The category of products offered by the firm is blouses, T-shirts, pants, dresses, sweaters, jackets and coats, skirts, shorts, jumpsuits, and accessories. The company reports as a single segment and includes all sales channels accessed by the company's clients, including sales through the company's eCommerce website and sales at the company's boutiques. Its geographical segments include Canada and the United States, of which it generates the majority of its revenue from the United States.
90GF Score
Get the complete analysis for ATZAF
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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