AVVOF (Avio SpA) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $35.76 (As of Jul. 23, 2026) — 4370% Above Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

AVVOF Avio SpA AVVOF
53 GF Score
Price $32.17
GF Value $15.35
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Avio SpA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Avio SpA AVVOF 53 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $35.76 as of Jul. 23, 2026, which is 4370% above its 10-year median of 0.80. GuruFocus rates AVVOF with a GF Score™ of 53/100 and a GF Value™ of $15.35 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 193 Aerospace & Defense companies, Avio SpA ranks better than 88.6% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-07-23), Avio SpA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $35.76. The stock price of Avio SpA is $32.17. Therefore, Avio SpA's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for Avio SpA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

AVVOF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.58   Med: 0.8   Max: 1
Current: 0.9

During the past 12 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Avio SpA was 1.00. The lowest was 0.58. And the median was 0.80.

AVVOF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
88.6% of 193 companies
in the Aerospace & Defense industry
Industry Median: 2.86 vs AVVOF: 0.90

Avio SpA  (OTCPK:AVVOF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Avio SpA's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=32.17/35.636562223712
=0.90

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Avio SpA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Avio SpA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Avio SpA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Avio SpA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Avio SpA Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.59

Avio SpA Quarterly Data
Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.59

AVVOF vs SPCX, GE, RTX: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Avio SpA's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Avio SpA Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Avio SpA's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Avio SpA's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


AVVOF
53GF Score
Avio SpA AVVOF
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Avio SpA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Avio SpA's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $39.65.

Avio SpA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec25)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(10.195616806174*39.645714285714+816.539*0.8)/29.673
=35.64

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $35.76 mean?
Avio SpA (AVVOF) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $35.76 as of Jul. 23, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Avio SpA and its competitors. This is 4370% above median its historical median of 0.80. Over the past decade, Avio SpA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.58 to 1.00. According to the industry distribution chart, Avio SpA ranks #22 out of 193 companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry, placing it in the top 11.4%.
Is Avio SpA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Avio SpA's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $35.76 is 4370% above median its 10-year median of 0.80. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.58 to a high of 1.00. The Aerospace & Defense industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.86. Avio SpA's value of $35.76 is 1150.3% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Avio SpA ranks #22 out of 193 companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Avio SpA has a GF Score™ of 53/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Avio SpA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to SPCX and GE?
According to the Aerospace & Defense industry distribution chart, Avio SpA ranks #22 out of 193 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Avio SpA in the top 11% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.86. Avio SpA's value of $35.76 is 1150.3% above this benchmark. Historically, Avio SpA's own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.58 to 1.00 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 0.80 vs. the industry median of 2.86, Avio SpA has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for an Aerospace & Defense company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Aerospace & Defense companies is 2.86, based on 193 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Avio SpA's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $35.76 is 1150.3% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Avio SpA and its competitors. For the Aerospace & Defense industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.86 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Avio SpA's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $35.76, which is 4370% above median its own 10-year median of 0.80. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Avio SpA stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Avio SpA (AVVOF) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $15.35, compared to a current price of $32.17 — trading 109.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $35.76, which is 4370% above median its 10-year median of 0.80 and 1150.3% above the Aerospace & Defense industry median of 2.86. Avio SpA's overall GF Score™ is 53/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Avio SpA (AVVOF), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $35.76 as of Jul. 23, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Avio SpA (AVVOF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Avio SpA stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $32.17 is trading 109.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of $15.35. GuruFocus considers Avio SpA to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for AVVOF:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $35.76 (4370% above median its 10-year median of 0.80)
  • GF Value™: $15.35 vs. price of $32.17 (109.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 53/100 with 6 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 1150.3% above the Aerospace & Defense median (#22 of 193)

No single metric tells the full story. See the AVVOF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Avio SpA Business Description

Address Via Latina, snc (SP 600 Ariana km 5,2, Colleferro, Rome, ITA, 00034
Avio SpA is an international group engaged in the construction and development of space launchers. The company's core operations are design, development and production of solid and liquid propellant propulsion systems for space launchers; design, development and production of solid propellant propulsion systems for tactical missiles; development, integration and supply of complete light space launchers (VEGA); research and development of new low environmental impact propulsion systems and of satellite tracking control engines. The Group mainly operates in EU countries (Italy, France), the USA, and French Guiana.
53GF Score

Get the complete analysis for AVVOF

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$32.17
Price
$15.35
GF Value