Noble Development PCL (BKK:NOBLE-R) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: ฿8.74 (As of Aug. 28, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

BKK:NOBLE-R Noble Development PCL BKK:NOBLE-R
52 GF Score
Price ฿1.67
GF Value ฿2.14
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Noble Development PCL Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Noble Development PCL BKK:NOBLE-R 52 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ฿8.74 as of Aug. 28, 2026. GuruFocus rates BKK:NOBLE-R with a GF Score™ of 52/100 and a GF Value™ of ฿2.14 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,270 Real Estate companies, Noble Development PCL ranks better than 85.67% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-08-28), Noble Development PCL's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ฿8.74. The stock price of Noble Development PCL is ฿1.67. Therefore, Noble Development PCL's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for Noble Development PCL's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

BKK:NOBLE-R' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.13   Med: 0.29   Max: 1.47
Current: 0.19

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Noble Development PCL was 1.47. The lowest was 0.13. And the median was 0.29.

BKK:NOBLE-R's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
85.67% of 1270 companies
in the Real Estate industry
Industry Median: 0.63 vs BKK:NOBLE-R: 0.19

Noble Development PCL  (BKK:NOBLE-R) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Noble Development PCL's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1.67/8.4810662987015
=0.20

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Noble Development PCL Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Noble Development PCL Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Noble Development PCL's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Noble Development PCL Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Noble Development PCL Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 23.66 15.17 12.75 15.39 9.35

Noble Development PCL Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 18.41 14.68 9.35 8.61 9.64

Noble Development PCL Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Competitor Comparison

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, Noble Development PCL's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Noble Development PCL Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Noble Development PCL's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Noble Development PCL's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


BKK:NOBLE-R
52GF Score
Noble Development PCL BKK:NOBLE-R
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Noble Development PCL Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Noble Development PCL's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = ฿683.22.

Noble Development PCL's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*683.21936+6387.003*0.8)/1369.414
=8.48

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of ฿8.74 mean?
Noble Development PCL (BKK:NOBLE-R) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of ฿8.74 as of Aug. 28, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Noble Development PCL and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Noble Development PCL ranks #182 out of 1270 companies in the Real Estate industry, placing it in the top 14.3%.
Is Noble Development PCL's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Noble Development PCL's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ฿8.74. Based on the distribution chart, Noble Development PCL ranks #182 out of 1270 companies in the Real Estate industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Noble Development PCL has a GF Score™ of 52/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Noble Development PCL's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to competitors?
According to the Real Estate industry distribution chart, Noble Development PCL ranks #182 out of 1270 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Noble Development PCL in the top 14% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.63. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Real Estate company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Real Estate companies is 0.63, based on 1,270 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Noble Development PCL and its competitors. For the Real Estate industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.63 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Noble Development PCL's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ฿8.74. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Noble Development PCL stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Noble Development PCL (BKK:NOBLE-R) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ฿2.14, compared to a current price of ฿1.67 — trading 22% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ฿8.74. Noble Development PCL's overall GF Score™ is 52/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Noble Development PCL (BKK:NOBLE-R), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ฿8.74 as of Aug. 28, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Noble Development PCL (BKK:NOBLE-R) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Noble Development PCL stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ฿1.67 is trading 22% below its estimated GF Value™ of ฿2.14. GuruFocus considers Noble Development PCL to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for BKK:NOBLE-R:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: ฿8.74
  • GF Value™: ฿2.14 vs. price of ฿1.67 (22% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 52/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BKK:NOBLE-R stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Noble Development PCL Business Description

Other Exchanges NOBLE:Thailand
Address 1035 Ploenchit Road, NOBLE Building, Lumpini, Pathumwan, Bangkok, THA, 10330
Noble Development PCL is a Thailand-based real estate company. Along with its subsidiaries, the firm is engaged in the development of real estate for sale, providing construction, rental and service, construction consulting services, and manufacturing and sale of furniture in Thailand. Its segments are Condominium, House and land, Rental and service business, and Others.
52GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BKK:NOBLE-R

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

฿1.67
Price
฿2.14
GF Value