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Conifer Holdings (Conifer Holdings) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $-6.77 (As of May. 14, 2024)


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What is Conifer Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-14), Conifer Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-6.77. The stock price of Conifer Holdings is $0.9922. Therefore, Conifer Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Conifer Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 12 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Conifer Holdings was 0.66. The lowest was 0.30. And the median was 0.48.

CNFR's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Insurance industry.
Industry Median: 0.66
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Conifer Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Conifer Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Conifer Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Conifer Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.07 6.87 7.75 -1.88 -6.77

Conifer Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.88 -2.40 -2.68 -3.34 -6.77

Competitive Comparison of Conifer Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Insurance - Property & Casualty subindustry, Conifer Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Conifer Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Conifer Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Conifer Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Conifer Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Conifer Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-8.94.

Conifer Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-8.93504+2.889*0.8)/12.223
=-6.77

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Conifer Holdings  (NAS:CNFR) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Conifer Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.9922/-6.7703118975709
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Conifer Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Conifer Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Conifer Holdings (Conifer Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
550 West Merrill Street, Suite 200, Birmingham, MI, USA, 48009
Conifer Holdings Inc is an insurance company engaged in the sale of property and casualty insurance products. It is engaged in three classes of insurance businesses; commercial lines, personal lines, and wholesale agency business. Within these three businesses, the company offers various insurance products and insurance agency services. The company views the commercial and personal lines segments as underwriting business. The wholesale agency business provides non-risk bearing revenue through commissions and policy fees. Its revenues are derived from premiums earned from insurance operations.
Executives
James G Petcoff director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman and CEO 350 N NINTH STREET, SUITE 202, BOISE ID 83702
Gerald W Hakala director 550 W. MERRILL STREET, SUITE 200, BIRMINGHAM MI 48009
Brian J Roney officer: President 28819 FRANKLIN ROAD, SOUTHFIELD MI 48034
Nicholas J Petcoff director, officer: EVP, Secretary 550 W. MERRILL STREET, SUITE 200, BIRMINGHAM MI 48009
Joseph D Sarafa director 11123 BUGAI, TRAVERSE CITY MI 49684
Clarkston Ventures, Llc 10 percent owner 91 WEST LONG LAKE ROAD, BLOOMFIELD HILLS MI 48304
Jeffrey Anthony Hakala director 91 WEST LONG LAKE ROAD, BLOOMFIELD HILLS MI 48304
Williams R Jamison Jr director 28819 FRANKLIN ROAD, SOUTHFIELD MI 48034
Isolde O'hanlon director 550 W MERRILL, SUITE 200, BIRMINGHAM MI 48009
Timothy Lamothe director 26 WAKEMAN ROAD, SOUTH SALEM NY 10590
Andrew Petcoff officer: SVP, Marketing 550 W. MERRILL STREET, SUITE 200, BIRMINGHAM MI 48009
John William Melstrom director 355 S. OLD WOODWARD AVENUE, SUITE 200, BIRMINGHAM MI 48009
Mark Mccammon director 550 W. MERRILL STREET, SUITE 200, BIRMINGHAM MI 48009
Harold J Meloche officer: CFO, Treasurer 28819 FRANKLIN ROAD, SOUTHFIELD MI 48034
Jorge J Morales director 28819 FRANKLIN ROAD, SOUTHFIELD MI 48034