CSGQF (Costain Group) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $0.76 (As of Sep. 16, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

CSGQF Costain Group PLC CSGQF
52 GF Score
Price $1.38
GF Value $0.59
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Costain Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Costain Group CSGQF 52 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.76 as of Sep. 16, 2026. GuruFocus rates CSGQF with a GF Score™ of 52/100 and a GF Value™ of $0.59. The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,226 Construction companies, Costain Group ranks worse than 72.02% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-09-16), Costain Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.76. The stock price of Costain Group is $1.375. Therefore, Costain Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for Costain Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

CSGQF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.6   Med: 1.14   Max: 1.81
Current: 1.81

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Costain Group was 1.81. The lowest was 0.60. And the median was 1.14.

CSGQF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
72.02% of 1226 companies
in the Construction industry
Industry Median: 0.95 vs CSGQF: 1.81

Costain Group  (OTCPK:CSGQF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Costain Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1.375/1.7692514587697
=0.78

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Costain Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Costain Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Costain Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Costain Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Costain Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Costain Group Semi-Annual Data
Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

CSGQF vs PWR, FIX, EME: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Engineering & Construction subindustry, Costain Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Costain Group Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Costain Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Costain Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


CSGQF
52GF Score
Costain Group PLC CSGQF
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Costain Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Costain Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $21.50.

Costain Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec25)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*21.495145714286+347.29191*0.8)/272.7
=1.77

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $0.76 mean?
Costain Group (CSGQF) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $0.76 as of Sep. 16, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Costain Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Costain Group ranks #883 out of 1226 companies in the Construction industry, placing it in the top 72%.
Is Costain Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Costain Group's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.76. The Construction industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.95. Costain Group's value of $0.76 is 20% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Costain Group ranks #883 out of 1226 companies in the Construction industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Costain Group has a GF Score™ of 52/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Costain Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to PWR and FIX?
According to the Construction industry distribution chart, Costain Group ranks #883 out of 1226 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Costain Group in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.95. Costain Group's value of $0.76 is 20% below this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Construction company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Construction companies is 0.95, based on 1,226 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Costain Group's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $0.76 is 20% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Costain Group and its competitors. For the Construction industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.95 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Costain Group's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.76. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Costain Group stock overvalued right now?
Costain Group (CSGQF) has a current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $0.76. The stock's GF Value™ is $0.59, compared to a current price of $1.38 — trading 133.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.76 and 20% below the Construction industry median of 0.95. Costain Group's overall GF Score™ is 52/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Costain Group (CSGQF), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.76 as of Sep. 16, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Costain Group (CSGQF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Costain Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $1.38 is trading 133.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of $0.59.

Key valuation signals for CSGQF:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $0.76
  • GF Value™: $0.59 vs. price of $1.38 (133.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 52/100 with 5 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 20% below the Construction median (#883 of 1226)

No single metric tells the full story. See the CSGQF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Costain Group Business Description

Other Exchanges COSTl:UKCOST:UK
Address 70 Saint Mary Axe, Seventh Floor, London, GBR, EC3A 8BE
Costain Group PLC offers solutions and services. It provides engineering and technology solutions and advisory and development, design, management, project delivery, technology integration and asset optimization and support services to highways, nuclear, oil and gas, power, water sectors, rail. The company has two segments Transportation and Natural resources. The transportation segment covers highways, rail, and nuclear markets and the Natural resources segment comprises of water, power and oil and gas markets. Majority of revenue is from Transportation Segment.
52GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CSGQF

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$1.38
Price
$0.59
GF Value