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ECA Marcellus Trust IECTM +2.38%52 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.58 as of Jul. 31, 2026, which is 32% below its 10-year median of 0.85. GuruFocus rates ECTM with a GF Score™ of 52/100 and a GF Value™ of $0.67 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 614 Oil & Gas companies, ECA Marcellus Trust I ranks worse than 59.93% on this metric.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
The historical rank and industry rank for ECA Marcellus Trust I's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
ECTM'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.24 Med: 0.85 Max: 3.02
Current: 1.08
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of ECA Marcellus Trust I was 3.02. The lowest was 0.24. And the median was 0.85.
ECTM's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than 59.93% of 614
companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 0.875
vs ECTM: 1.08
ECA Marcellus Trust I (OTCPK:ECTM) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
ECA Marcellus Trust I's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
0.62563
/
0.57615450156206
=
1.09
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
ECA Marcellus Trust I Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
ECA Marcellus Trust I Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for ECA Marcellus Trust I's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
ECA Marcellus Trust I Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart
ECTM vs VIVK, SKYQ, XOM: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison
For the Oil & Gas Integrated subindustry, ECA Marcellus Trust I's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
ECA Marcellus Trust I Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Oil & Gas Industry
For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, ECA Marcellus Trust I's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where ECA Marcellus Trust I's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
ECA Marcellus Trust I Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $0.58 mean?
ECA Marcellus Trust I (ECTM) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $0.58 as of Jul. 31, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on ECA Marcellus Trust I and its competitors. This is 32% below median its historical median of 0.85. Over the past decade, ECA Marcellus Trust I's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.24 to 3.02. According to the industry distribution chart, ECA Marcellus Trust I ranks #368 out of 614 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, placing it in the top 59.9%.
Is ECA Marcellus Trust I's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
ECA Marcellus Trust I's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $0.58 is 32% below median its 10-year median of 0.85. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.24 to a high of 3.02. The Oil & Gas industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.88. ECA Marcellus Trust I's value of $0.58 is 33.7% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, ECA Marcellus Trust I ranks #368 out of 614 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, ECA Marcellus Trust I has a GF Score™ of 52/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does ECA Marcellus Trust I's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to VIVK and SKYQ?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, ECA Marcellus Trust I ranks #368 out of 614 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places ECA Marcellus Trust I in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.88. ECA Marcellus Trust I's value of $0.58 is 33.7% below this benchmark. Historically, ECA Marcellus Trust I's own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.24 to 3.02 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 0.85 vs. the industry median of 0.88, ECA Marcellus Trust I has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for an Oil & Gas company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Oil & Gas companies is 0.88, based on 614 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. ECA Marcellus Trust I's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $0.58 is 33.7% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on ECA Marcellus Trust I and its competitors. For the Oil & Gas industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.88 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. ECA Marcellus Trust I's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.58, which is 32% below median its own 10-year median of 0.85. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is ECA Marcellus Trust I stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, ECA Marcellus Trust I (ECTM) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $0.67, compared to a current price of $0.63 — trading 6.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.58, which is 32% below median its 10-year median of 0.85 and 33.7% below the Oil & Gas industry median of 0.88. ECA Marcellus Trust I's overall GF Score™ is 52/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For ECA Marcellus Trust I (ECTM), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.58 as of Jul. 31, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is ECA Marcellus Trust I (ECTM) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, ECA Marcellus Trust I stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of $0.63 is trading 6.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of $0.67.
GuruFocus considers ECA Marcellus Trust I to be Fairly Valued.
Key valuation signals for ECTM:
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $0.58 (32% below median its 10-year median of 0.85)
GF Value™: $0.67 vs. price of $0.63 (6.6% below fair value)
Industry Position: 33.7% below the Oil & Gas median (#368 of 614)
No single metric tells the full story. See the ECTM stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
ECA Marcellus Trust I is a statutory trust. The trust's purpose is, in general, to hold the Royalty Interests, to distribute to the Trust unitholders cash that the Trust receives in respect of the Royalty Interests after the payment of Trust expenses, and to perform certain administrative functions in respect of the Royalty Interests and the Trust units.
52GF Score
Get the complete analysis for ECTM
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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