ECA Marcellus Trust IECTM -2.77%53 Altman Z-Score is 5.39 as of Jun. 25, 2026, which is 65% below its 10-year median of 15.46. GuruFocus rates ECTM with a GF Score™ of 53/100 and a GF Value™ of $0.68 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 897 Oil & Gas companies, ECA Marcellus Trust I ranks better than 87.07% on this metric.
The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.
Good Sign:
Altman Z-score of 5.51 is strong.
ECA Marcellus Trust I has a Altman Z-Score of 5.39, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for ECA Marcellus Trust I's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:
ECTM'
s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 4.12 Med: 15.46 Max: 2447.47
Current: 5.51
During the past 13 years, ECA Marcellus Trust I's highest Altman Z-Score was 2447.47. The lowest was 4.12. And the median was 15.46.
ECA Marcellus Trust I (OTCPK:ECTM) Altman Z-Score Explanation
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.
X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.
Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.
ECA Marcellus Trust I Altman Z-Score Related Terms
ECA Marcellus Trust I Altman Z-Score Historical Data
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The historical data trend for ECA Marcellus Trust I's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
ECTM vs SKYQ, VIVK, XOM: Altman Z-Score Comparison
For the Oil & Gas Integrated subindustry, ECA Marcellus Trust I's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
ECA Marcellus Trust I Altman Z-Score vs Oil & Gas Industry
For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, ECA Marcellus Trust I's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where ECA Marcellus Trust I's Altman Z-Score falls into.
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.
ECA Marcellus Trust I (ECTM) has a Altman Z-Score of 5.39 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on ECA Marcellus Trust I and its competitors. This is 65% below median its historical median of 15.46. Over the past decade, ECA Marcellus Trust I's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 4.12 to 2,447.47. According to the industry distribution chart, ECA Marcellus Trust I ranks #116 out of 897 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, placing it in the top 12.9%.
Is ECA Marcellus Trust I's Altman Z-Score too high?
ECA Marcellus Trust I's current Altman Z-Score of 5.39 is 65% below median its 10-year median of 15.46. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 4.12 to a high of 2,447.47. The Oil & Gas industry median Altman Z-Score is 1.91. ECA Marcellus Trust I's value of 5.39 is 182.2% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, ECA Marcellus Trust I ranks #116 out of 897 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, ECA Marcellus Trust I has a GF Score™ of 53/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does ECA Marcellus Trust I's Altman Z-Score compare to SKYQ and VIVK?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, ECA Marcellus Trust I ranks #116 out of 897 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places ECA Marcellus Trust I in the top 13% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 1.91. ECA Marcellus Trust I's value of 5.39 is 182.2% above this benchmark. Historically, ECA Marcellus Trust I's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 4.12 to 2,447.47 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 15.46 vs. the industry median of 1.91, ECA Marcellus Trust I has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for an Oil & Gas company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Oil & Gas companies is 1.91, based on 897 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. ECA Marcellus Trust I's current Altman Z-Score of 5.39 is 182.2% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on ECA Marcellus Trust I and its competitors. For the Oil & Gas industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 1.91 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. ECA Marcellus Trust I's current Altman Z-Score is 5.39, which is 65% below median its own 10-year median of 15.46. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is ECA Marcellus Trust I stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, ECA Marcellus Trust I (ECTM) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $0.68, compared to a current price of $0.61 — trading 10.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 5.39, which is 65% below median its 10-year median of 15.46 and 182.2% above the Oil & Gas industry median of 1.91. ECA Marcellus Trust I's overall GF Score™ is 53/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For ECA Marcellus Trust I (ECTM), the current Altman Z-Score is 5.39 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is ECA Marcellus Trust I (ECTM) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, ECA Marcellus Trust I stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of $0.61 is trading 10.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of $0.68.
GuruFocus considers ECA Marcellus Trust I to be Modestly Undervalued.
Key valuation signals for ECTM:
Altman Z-Score: 5.39 (65% below median its 10-year median of 15.46)
GF Value™: $0.68 vs. price of $0.61 (10.3% below fair value)
Industry Position: 182.2% above the Oil & Gas median (#116 of 897)
No single metric tells the full story. See the ECTM stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
ECA Marcellus Trust I is a statutory trust. The trust's purpose is, in general, to hold the Royalty Interests, to distribute to the Trust unitholders cash that the Trust receives in respect of the Royalty Interests after the payment of Trust expenses, and to perform certain administrative functions in respect of the Royalty Interests and the Trust units.
53GF Score
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