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Essex Property TrustESS +0.61%80 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $196.02 as of Aug. 03, 2026, which is 13419% above its 10-year median of 1.45. GuruFocus rates ESS with a GF Score™ of 80/100 and a GF Value™ of $283.73 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 11 warning signs investors should review. Among 615 REITs companies, Essex Property Trust ranks worse than 87.32% on this metric.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
The historical rank and industry rank for Essex Property Trust's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
ESS'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.03 Med: 1.45 Max: 1.95
Current: 1.46
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Essex Property Trust was 1.95. The lowest was 1.03. And the median was 1.45.
ESS's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than 87.32% of 615
companies
in the REITs industry
Industry Median: 0.68
vs ESS: 1.46
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Essex Property Trust's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
285.88
/
196.0159226237
=
1.46
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Essex Property Trust Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Essex Property Trust Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Essex Property Trust's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
ESS vs INVH, MAA, SUI: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison
For the REIT - Residential subindustry, Essex Property Trust's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Essex Property Trust Price-to-Projected-FCF vs REITs Industry
For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Essex Property Trust's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Essex Property Trust's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $196.02 mean?
Essex Property Trust (ESS) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $196.02 as of Aug. 03, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Essex Property Trust and its competitors. This is 13419% above median its historical median of 1.45. Over the past decade, Essex Property Trust's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 1.03 to 1.95. According to the industry distribution chart, Essex Property Trust ranks #537 out of 615 companies in the REITs industry, placing it in the top 87.3%.
Is Essex Property Trust's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Essex Property Trust's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $196.02 is 13419% above median its 10-year median of 1.45. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.03 to a high of 1.95. The REITs industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.68. Essex Property Trust's value of $196.02 is 28726.5% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Essex Property Trust ranks #537 out of 615 companies in the REITs industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Essex Property Trust has a GF Score™ of 80/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Essex Property Trust's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to INVH and MAA?
According to the REITs industry distribution chart, Essex Property Trust ranks #537 out of 615 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Essex Property Trust in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.68. Essex Property Trust's value of $196.02 is 28726.5% above this benchmark. Historically, Essex Property Trust's own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 1.03 to 1.95 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.45 vs. the industry median of 0.68, Essex Property Trust has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a REITs company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among REITs companies is 0.68, based on 615 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Essex Property Trust's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $196.02 is 28726.5% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Essex Property Trust and its competitors. For the REITs industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.68 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Essex Property Trust's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $196.02, which is 13419% above median its own 10-year median of 1.45. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Essex Property Trust stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Essex Property Trust (ESS) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $283.73, compared to a current price of $285.88 — trading 0.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $196.02, which is 13419% above median its 10-year median of 1.45 and 28726.5% above the REITs industry median of 0.68. Essex Property Trust's overall GF Score™ is 80/100 with 11 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Essex Property Trust (ESS), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $196.02 as of Aug. 03, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Essex Property Trust (ESS) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Essex Property Trust stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $285.88 is trading 0.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of $283.73.
GuruFocus considers Essex Property Trust to be Fairly Valued.
Key valuation signals for ESS:
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $196.02 (13419% above median its 10-year median of 1.45)
GF Value™: $283.73 vs. price of $285.88 (0.8% above fair value)
Industry Position: 28726.5% above the REITs median (#537 of 615)
No single metric tells the full story. See the ESS stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Essex Property Trust owns a portfolio of 259 apartment communities with over 63,000 units. The company focuses on owning large, high-quality properties on the West Coast in the urban and suburban submarkets of Southern California, Northern California, and Seattle.
80GF Score
Get the complete analysis for ESS
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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