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National Beverage (National Beverage) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $18.50 (As of Apr. 30, 2024)


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What is National Beverage Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-30), National Beverage's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $18.50. The stock price of National Beverage is $44.50. Therefore, National Beverage's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for National Beverage's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

FIZZ' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.19   Med: 2.69   Max: 5.4
Current: 2.41

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of National Beverage was 5.40. The lowest was 1.19. And the median was 2.69.

FIZZ's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
78.26% of 69 companies
in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry
Industry Median: 1.17 vs FIZZ: 2.41

National Beverage Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for National Beverage's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

National Beverage Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

National Beverage Annual Data
Trend Apr14 Apr15 Apr16 Apr17 Apr18 Apr19 Apr20 Apr21 Apr22 Apr23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 15.22 19.35 19.93 16.45 16.53

National Beverage Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 16.56 16.53 17.61 18.13 18.50

Competitive Comparison of National Beverage's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic subindustry, National Beverage's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


National Beverage's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, National Beverage's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where National Beverage's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



National Beverage Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get National Beverage's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $135.34.

National Beverage's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jan24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.7849180867139*135.34368+510.221*0.8)/93.640
=18.50

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


National Beverage  (NAS:FIZZ) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

National Beverage's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=44.50/18.501747355344
=2.41

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


National Beverage Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of National Beverage's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


National Beverage (National Beverage) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
8100 SW Tenth Street, Suite 4000, Fort Lauderdale, FL, USA, 33324
National Beverage Corp is a non-alcoholic beverage company in the U.S. Its portfolio skews toward functional drinks (that is those purporting to offer health benefits) and is anchored by the popular LaCroix sparkling water trademark. Other offerings include Rip It energy drinks, Everfresh juices, and soda brands like Shasta and Faygo. The firm controls the majority of its production and distribution apparatus, with very little outsourcing. In terms of go-to-market, it uses warehouse distribution for big-box retailers, direct-store delivery for convenience stores and other small outlets, and food-service distributors for the food-service channel (schools, hospitals, restaurants). It is controlled by chairman and CEO Nick Caporella, who owns over 73% of the common stock.
Executives
Cecil D Conlee director 950 E PACES FERRY RD, SUITE 2275, ATLANTA GA 30326
Stanley Michael Sheridan director 6203 PLUM DRIVE, WILLIAMSBURG MI 49690
Nick A Caporella director, 10 percent owner, officer: COB & CEO ONE NORTH UNIVERSITY DRIVE, BUILDING A, 4TH FLOOR, PLANTATION FL 33324
Joseph G Caporella director, officer: President 8100 SW 10TH STREET, SUITE 4000, PLANTATION FL 33324
Dennis L Thompson officer: EVP - Shasta Beverages, Inc. 8100 SW 10TH STREET, SUITE 4000, PLANTATION FL 33324
Gregory P Cook officer: VP - CONTROLLER & CAO 8100 SW 10TH STREET, SUITE 4000, PLANTATION FL 33324
Samuel C Hathorn director 8100 SW 10TH STREET, SUITE 4000, PLANTATION FL 33324
Gregory I Roberts officer: EVP - National BevPak 8100 SW 10TH STREET, SUITE 4000, PLANTATION FL 33324
George R Bracken officer: EVP Finance 8100 SW 10TH STREET, SUITE 4000, PLANTATION FL 33324
Hagan John Ronald Jr officer: SEVP, Shasta Beverages, Inc. 8100 SW 10TH STREET, SUITE 4000, PLANTATION FL 33324
Kloch Joseph P Jr director ONE NORTH UNIVERSITY DRIVE, BUILDING A, 4TH FLOOR, PLANTATION FL 33324
Dean A Mccoy officer: Senior VP-Controller ONE NORTH UNIVERSITY DRIVE, BUILDING A, 4TH FLOOR, PLANTATION FL 33324
Edward F Knecht officer: EVP - Procurement ONE NORTH UNIVERSITY DRIVE, BUILDING A,, 4TH FLOOR, PLANTATION FL 33324
S Lee Kling director 1401 S BRENTWOOD BLVD, ST LOUIS MO 63144

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