FIZZ (National Beverage) Beneish M-Score: -2.49 (As of Jul. 25, 2026)

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FIZZ National Beverage Corp FIZZ
71 GF Score
Price $30.70
GF Value $45.51
Valuation Significantly Undervalued
! 1 Warning Sign
View Full Analysis

What is National Beverage Beneish M-Score?

National Beverage FIZZ +0.56% 71 Beneish M-Score is -2.49 as of Jul. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates FIZZ with a GF Score™ of 71/100 and a GF Value™ of $45.51 (Significantly Undervalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 109 Beverages - Non-Alcoholic companies, National Beverage ranks worse than 55.96% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.49 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for National Beverage's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FIZZ' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.06   Med: -2.52   Max: -2.07
Current: -2.49

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of National Beverage was -2.07. The lowest was -3.06. And the median was -2.52.


National Beverage Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for National Beverage's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

National Beverage Beneish M-Score Chart

National Beverage Annual Data
Trend Apr17 Apr18 Apr19 Apr20 Apr21 Apr22 Apr23 Apr24 Apr25 Apr26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.07 -2.46 -2.76 -2.66 -2.49

National Beverage Quarterly Data
Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24 Oct24 Jan25 Apr25 Jul25 Oct25 Jan26 Apr26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.66 -2.75 -2.64 -2.54 -2.49

FIZZ vs COCO, SUJA, BUDA: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic subindustry, National Beverage's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


National Beverage Beneish M-Score vs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, National Beverage's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where National Beverage's Beneish M-Score falls into.


FIZZ
71GF Score
National Beverage Corp FIZZ
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

National Beverage Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of National Beverage for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.019+0.528 * 0.9977+0.404 * 0.7771+0.892 * 0.9827+0.115 * 0.8997
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0111+4.679 * 0.000508-0.327 * 0.7167
=-2.49

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Apr26) TTM:Last Year (Apr25) TTM:
Total Receivables was $104 Mil.
Revenue was 297.12 + 264.586 + 288.331 + 330.515 = $1,181 Mil.
Gross Profit was 103.009 + 99.604 + 109.185 + 125.463 = $437 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $593 Mil.
Total Assets was $852 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $239 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $23 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $207 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $135 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $44 Mil.
Net Income was 40.316 + 41.208 + 46.364 + 55.76 = $184 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -0.124 + -0.007 + -0.145 + 2.237 = $2 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 45.528 + 50.925 + 25.712 + 59.089 = $181 Mil.
Total Receivables was $104 Mil.
Revenue was 313.629 + 267.05 + 291.202 + 329.473 = $1,201 Mil.
Gross Profit was 113.208 + 98.95 + 109.351 + 122.432 = $444 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $407 Mil.
Total Assets was $673 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $246 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $21 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $208 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $141 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $58 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(104.301 / 1180.552) / (104.157 / 1201.354)
=0.088349 / 0.0867
=1.019

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(443.941 / 1201.354) / (437.261 / 1180.552)
=0.369534 / 0.370387
=0.9977

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (593.059 + 238.858) / 851.647) / (1 - (406.928 + 245.872) / 672.86)
=0.023167 / 0.029813
=0.7771

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1180.552 / 1201.354
=0.9827

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(20.801 / (20.801 + 245.872)) / (22.675 / (22.675 + 238.858))
=0.078002 / 0.0867
=0.8997

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(207.151 / 1180.552) / (208.482 / 1201.354)
=0.17547 / 0.173539
=1.0111

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((44.479 + 135.214) / 851.647) / ((57.591 + 140.502) / 672.86)
=0.210995 / 0.294404
=0.7167

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(183.648 - 1.961 - 181.254) / 851.647
=0.000508

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

National Beverage has a M-score of -2.49 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.49 mean?
National Beverage (FIZZ) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.49 as of Jul. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on National Beverage and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, National Beverage ranks #61 out of 109 companies in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry, placing it in the top 56%.
Is National Beverage's Beneish M-Score too high?
National Beverage's current Beneish M-Score is -2.49. Based on the distribution chart, National Beverage ranks #61 out of 109 companies in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, National Beverage has a GF Score™ of 71/100 and is considered Significantly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does National Beverage's Beneish M-Score compare to COCO and SUJA?
According to the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry distribution chart, National Beverage ranks #61 out of 109 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places National Beverage in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Beverages - Non-Alcoholic company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on National Beverage and its competitors. National Beverage's current Beneish M-Score is -2.49. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is National Beverage stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, National Beverage (FIZZ) is currently considered Significantly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $45.51, compared to a current price of $30.70 — trading 32.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.49. National Beverage's overall GF Score™ is 71/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For National Beverage (FIZZ), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.49 as of Jul. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is National Beverage (FIZZ) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, National Beverage stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $30.70 is trading 32.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of $45.51. GuruFocus considers National Beverage to be Significantly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for FIZZ:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.49
  • GF Value™: $45.51 vs. price of $30.70 (32.5% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 71/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the FIZZ stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


National Beverage Business Description

Other Exchanges 0K50:UK
Address 8050 SW Tenth Street, Suite 4000, Fort Lauderdale, FL, USA, 33324
National Beverage Corp is a non-alcoholic beverage company in the U.S. Its portfolio skews toward functional drinks (that is those purporting to offer health benefits) and is anchored by the popular LaCroix sparkling water trademark. Other offerings include Rip It energy drinks, Everfresh juices, and soda brands like Shasta and Faygo. The firm controls the majority of its production and distribution apparatus, with very little outsourcing. In terms of go-to-market, it uses warehouse distribution for retailers, direct-store delivery for convenience stores and other small outlets, and food-service distributors for the food-service channel (schools, hospitals, restaurants).
71GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FIZZ

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$30.70
Price
$45.51
GF Value