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Aves One AG (HAM:AVES) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : €31.02 (As of Jun. 23, 2024)


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What is Aves One AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-06-23), Aves One AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €31.02. The stock price of Aves One AG is €14.40. Therefore, Aves One AG's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Aves One AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Aves One AG was 0.72. The lowest was 0.32. And the median was 0.46.

HAM:AVES's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Business Services industry.
Industry Median: 0.96
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Aves One AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Aves One AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Aves One AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Aves One AG Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -53.37 11.38 21.28 24.74 28.55

Aves One AG Quarterly Data
Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Jun23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 27.12 29.20 28.25 28.55 31.02

Competitive Comparison of Aves One AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Rental & Leasing Services subindustry, Aves One AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Aves One AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Aves One AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aves One AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Aves One AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Aves One AG's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = €38.62.

Aves One AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*38.62048+44.992*0.8)/13.015
=31.02

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Aves One AG  (HAM:AVES) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Aves One AG's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=14.40/31.016069796767
=0.46

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Aves One AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Aves One AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Aves One AG (HAM:AVES) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Grosse Elbstrasse 61, Hamburg, DEU, 22767
Aves One AG is a private holder of logistics assets for rail in Europe. It operates through two segments. Rail segment, which is the key revenue driver, includes the rental of rail cars, such as tank wagons, flat wagons, open wagons, covered wagons, and special wagons; management is carried out by the asset managers. Container segment includes the rental of sea containers, whereby container management is carried out by external service providers. In addition, it includes the subarea Special Equipment. This includes the rental of swap bodies and tank containers to logistics companies in the courier, express and parcel market, among others.

Aves One AG (HAM:AVES) Headlines