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Matrix Holdings (HKSE:01005) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : HK$2.22 (As of Jun. 21, 2024)


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What is Matrix Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-06-21), Matrix Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is HK$2.22. The stock price of Matrix Holdings is HK$0.76. Therefore, Matrix Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Matrix Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01005' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.34   Med: 1.37   Max: 1.78
Current: 0.34

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Matrix Holdings was 1.78. The lowest was 0.34. And the median was 1.37.

HKSE:01005's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked
in the Travel & Leisure industry.
Industry Median: 1.115 vs HKSE:01005: 0.34

Matrix Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Matrix Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Matrix Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Matrix Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.27 2.01 2.03 2.16 2.22

Matrix Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Dec13 Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 2.16 - 2.22 -

Competitive Comparison of Matrix Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Leisure subindustry, Matrix Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Matrix Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Matrix Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Matrix Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Matrix Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Matrix Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = HK$88.70.

Matrix Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec22)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*88.699857142857+1047.414*0.8)/756.203
=2.22

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Matrix Holdings  (HKSE:01005) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Matrix Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.76/2.2247796246667
=0.34

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Matrix Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Matrix Holdings (HKSE:01005) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
39 Chatham Road South, Unit 01, Suite 1001, 10th Floor, Railway Plaza, Tsim Sha Tsui, Kowloon, Hong Kong, HKG
Matrix Holdings Ltd, an investment holding company, manufactures and trades in toys and lighting products. It offers plastic, die-cast, and plush toys. The business activity of the group functions through the United States, Europe, Mexico, Canada, South America, Australia, New Zealand, and internationally from which it derives the majority of revenue from the United States. Manufacturing services offered by the group include design, prototyping, molding, product validation, multi-skilled manufacturing, general assembly, and packaging. The activities of the group are reported under single segment being manufacturing and trading of toys and lighting products.
Executives
Smart Forest Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Cheng Yung Pun 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

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