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Xin Yuan Enterprises Group (HKSE:01748) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : HK$1.69 (As of Jun. 25, 2024)


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What is Xin Yuan Enterprises Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-06-25), Xin Yuan Enterprises Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is HK$1.69. The stock price of Xin Yuan Enterprises Group is HK$3.98. Therefore, Xin Yuan Enterprises Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for Xin Yuan Enterprises Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01748' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.36   Med: 3.77   Max: 4.58
Current: 2.36

During the past 9 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Xin Yuan Enterprises Group was 4.58. The lowest was 2.36. And the median was 3.77.

HKSE:01748's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
83.64% of 697 companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 0.82 vs HKSE:01748: 2.36

Xin Yuan Enterprises Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Xin Yuan Enterprises Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Xin Yuan Enterprises Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Xin Yuan Enterprises Group Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only - - -0.60 0.60 1.69

Xin Yuan Enterprises Group Semi-Annual Data
Dec15 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.60 - 0.60 - 1.69

Competitive Comparison of Xin Yuan Enterprises Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Marine Shipping subindustry, Xin Yuan Enterprises Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Xin Yuan Enterprises Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Xin Yuan Enterprises Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Xin Yuan Enterprises Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Xin Yuan Enterprises Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Xin Yuan Enterprises Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = HK$-3.09.

Xin Yuan Enterprises Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(10.551003399274*-3.0881428571428+971.281*0.8)/440.000
=1.69

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Xin Yuan Enterprises Group  (HKSE:01748) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Xin Yuan Enterprises Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=3.98/1.6919131686746
=2.35

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Xin Yuan Enterprises Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Xin Yuan Enterprises Group (HKSE:01748) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 23 Changting Street, Room 02–05, 40th Floor, International Commerce Centre, Taijiang, Fuzhou, CHN
Xin Yuan Enterprises Group Ltd is an investment holding company. The company along with its holdings is engaged in providing asphalt tanker chartering and bulk carrier chartering services, and trading of asphalt. It principally provides asphalt tanker chartering services under various types of charter agreements comprising through the agreement with time charters; voyage charters and contracts of affreightment. Its operating segments include Asphalt tanker chartering services, Bulk carrier chartering services, and Asphalt trading.
Executives
Chen Yanbiao 2101 Beneficial owner
Peace Investment Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Fan Liangquan 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Lan Shaoyun 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Golden Boomer Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Hong Jian Bin 2202 Interest of your spouse
Industrial Bank Co., Ltd 2106 Person having a security interest in shares
Ni Hualing 2202 Interest of your spouse
Huan Yu Guo Ji Ke Ji Xiang Gang You Xian Gong Si 2101 Beneficial owner
Prosperous Bright Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Chen Maochun 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Perfect Bliss Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Xu Wenjun 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Zhu Zhen 2202 Interest of your spouse
Wu Kai 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

Xin Yuan Enterprises Group (HKSE:01748) Headlines

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