Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS (IST:ALKA) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: ₺1.98 (As of Sep. 07, 2026)

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IST:ALKA Alkim Kagit Sanayi ve Ticaret AS IST:ALKA
54 GF Score
Price ₺7.83
GF Value ₺5.66
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS IST:ALKA +0.64% 54 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₺1.98 as of Sep. 07, 2026. GuruFocus rates IST:ALKA with a GF Score™ of 54/100 and a GF Value™ of ₺5.66 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 214 Forest Products companies, Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS ranks worse than 91.12% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-09-07), Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₺1.98. The stock price of Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS is ₺7.83. Therefore, Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 4.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

IST:ALKA' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.78   Med: 1.31   Max: 5.34
Current: 3.95

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS was 5.34. The lowest was 0.78. And the median was 1.31.

IST:ALKA's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
91.12% of 214 companies
in the Forest Products industry
Industry Median: 0.61 vs IST:ALKA: 3.95

Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS  (IST:ALKA) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=7.83/
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.23 2.36 5.36 3.76 1.98

Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS Semi-Annual Data
Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.23 2.36 5.36 3.76 1.98

Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Competitor Comparison

For the Paper & Paper Products subindustry, Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


IST:ALKA
54GF Score
Alkim Kagit Sanayi ve Ticaret AS IST:ALKA
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of ₺1.98 mean?
Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS (IST:ALKA) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of ₺1.98 as of Sep. 07, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS ranks #195 out of 214 companies in the Forest Products industry, placing it in the top 91.1%.
Is Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₺1.98. Based on the distribution chart, Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS ranks #195 out of 214 companies in the Forest Products industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS has a GF Score™ of 54/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to competitors?
According to the Forest Products industry distribution chart, Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS ranks #195 out of 214 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.61. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Forest Products company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Forest Products companies is 0.61, based on 214 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS and its competitors. For the Forest Products industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.61 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₺1.98. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS (IST:ALKA) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₺5.66, compared to a current price of ₺7.83 — trading 38.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₺1.98. Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS's overall GF Score™ is 54/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS (IST:ALKA), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₺1.98 as of Sep. 07, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS (IST:ALKA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ₺7.83 is trading 38.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of ₺5.66. GuruFocus considers Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for IST:ALKA:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: ₺1.98
  • GF Value™: ₺5.66 vs. price of ₺7.83 (38.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 54/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the IST:ALKA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS Business Description

Address Kirovakan Mevkii Kemalpasa, Gulab OSB, Izmir, TUR, 35730
Alkim Kagit Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is a Turkey-based company engaged in the manufacture of paper and paper products. The company's main products are wood-free offset papers, coated papers, office papers and special papers. Alkim Kagit Sanayi ve Ticaret AS sells most of its products in the turkey market. It exports to over 25 countries, especially in Europe. In addition, the Balkan countries, Russia and Africa are part of the company's customer portfolio. Its wood-free offset, coated and office papers are produced in Alkim Paper Production Plants. The firm operates a cogeneration plant that meets its energy requirements.
54GF Score

Get the complete analysis for IST:ALKA

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₺7.83
Price
₺5.66
GF Value