Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS (IST:ALKA) Beneish M-Score: -2.58 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


IST:ALKA Alkim Kagit Sanayi ve Ticaret AS IST:ALKA
61 GF Score
Price ₺9.41
GF Value ₺7.56
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS Beneish M-Score?

Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS IST:ALKA -0.95% 61 Beneish M-Score is -2.58 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates IST:ALKA with a GF Score™ of 61/100 and a GF Value™ of ₺7.56 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 273 Forest Products companies, Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS ranks better than 54.21% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.58 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

IST:ALKA' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.64   Med: -1.84   Max: 1.61
Current: -2.58

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS was 1.61. The lowest was -4.64. And the median was -1.84.


Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS Beneish M-Score Chart

Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.42 -1.73 1.61 -4.64 -2.58

Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS Semi-Annual Data
Dec05 Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.42 -1.73 1.61 -4.64 -2.58

Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS Beneish M-Score Competitor Comparison

For the Paper & Paper Products subindustry, Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS Beneish M-Score vs Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score falls into.


IST:ALKA
61GF Score
Alkim Kagit Sanayi ve Ticaret AS IST:ALKA
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2737+0.528 * 1.711+0.404 * 0.8831+0.892 * 0.7903+0.115 * 1.8234
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.4939+4.679 * -0.090928-0.327 * 1.2255
=-2.58

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec24) TTM:Last Year (Dec23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₺327 Mil.
Revenue was ₺2,727 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₺364 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₺1,176 Mil.
Total Assets was ₺2,431 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₺1,248 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₺42 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₺99 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₺623 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₺93 Mil.
Net Income was ₺-141 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₺0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was ₺80 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₺325 Mil.
Revenue was ₺3,450 Mil.
Gross Profit was ₺788 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₺1,693 Mil.
Total Assets was ₺2,448 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₺747 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₺47 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₺84 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₺589 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₺0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(327.013 / 2726.546) / (324.882 / 3450.208)
=0.119937 / 0.094163
=1.2737

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(787.787 / 3450.208) / (363.861 / 2726.546)
=0.22833 / 0.133451
=1.711

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1175.649 + 1247.564) / 2431.146) / (1 - (1692.67 + 746.677) / 2448.394)
=0.003263 / 0.003695
=0.8831

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2726.546 / 3450.208
=0.7903

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(46.946 / (46.946 + 746.677)) / (41.829 / (41.829 + 1247.564))
=0.059154 / 0.032441
=1.8234

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(98.872 / 2726.546) / (83.751 / 3450.208)
=0.036263 / 0.024274
=1.4939

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((93.068 + 623.393) / 2431.146) / ((0 + 588.784) / 2448.394)
=0.294701 / 0.240478
=1.2255

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-140.707 - 0 - 80.353) / 2431.146
=-0.090928

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS has a M-score of -2.58 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.58 mean?
Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS (IST:ALKA) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.58 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS ranks #125 out of 273 companies in the Forest Products industry, placing it in the top 45.8%.
Is Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score too high?
Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS's current Beneish M-Score is -2.58. Based on the distribution chart, Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS ranks #125 out of 273 companies in the Forest Products industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS has a GF Score™ of 61/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score compare to competitors?
According to the Forest Products industry distribution chart, Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS ranks #125 out of 273 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Forest Products company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Forest Products industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS and its competitors. Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS's current Beneish M-Score is -2.58. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS (IST:ALKA) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₺7.56, compared to a current price of ₺9.41 — trading 24.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.58. Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS's overall GF Score™ is 61/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS (IST:ALKA), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.58 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS (IST:ALKA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ₺9.41 is trading 24.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of ₺7.56. GuruFocus considers Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for IST:ALKA:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.58
  • GF Value™: ₺7.56 vs. price of ₺9.41 (24.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 61/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the IST:ALKA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Alkim Kagitnayi ve Ticaret AS Business Description

Address Kirovakan Mevkii Kemalpasa, Gulab OSB, Izmir, TUR, 35730
Alkim Kagit Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is a Turkey-based company engaged in the manufacture of paper and paper products. The company's main products are wood-free offset papers, coated papers, office papers and special papers. Alkim Kagit Sanayi ve Ticaret AS sells most of its products in the turkey market. It exports to over 25 countries, especially in Europe. In addition, the Balkan countries, Russia and Africa are part of the company's customer portfolio. Its wood-free offset, coated and office papers are produced in Alkim Paper Production Plants. The firm operates a cogeneration plant that meets its energy requirements.
61GF Score

Get the complete analysis for IST:ALKA

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₺9.41
Price
₺7.56
GF Value