Shearwater Group (LSE:SWG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: £1.52 (As of Sep. 03, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

LSE:SWG Shearwater Group PLC LSE:SWG
37 GF Score
Price £0.59
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Shearwater Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Shearwater Group LSE:SWG 37 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is £1.52 as of Sep. 03, 2026. GuruFocus rates LSE:SWG with a GF Score™ of 37/100. The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,474 Software companies, Shearwater Group ranks better than 92.88% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-09-03), Shearwater Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is £1.52. The stock price of Shearwater Group is £0.585. Therefore, Shearwater Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for Shearwater Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

LSE:SWG' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.31   Med: 0.7   Max: 3.45
Current: 0.38

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Shearwater Group was 3.45. The lowest was 0.31. And the median was 0.70.

LSE:SWG's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
92.88% of 1474 companies
in the Software industry
Industry Median: 1.44 vs LSE:SWG: 0.38

Shearwater Group  (LSE:SWG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Shearwater Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.585/1.5223610300579
=0.38

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Shearwater Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Shearwater Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Shearwater Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Shearwater Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Shearwater Group Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.81 1.57 1.94 1.79 1.52

Shearwater Group Semi-Annual Data
Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.52 0.00 1.57 0.00 0.00

LSE:SWG vs MSFT, PLTR, ORCL: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, Shearwater Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Shearwater Group Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Shearwater Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Shearwater Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


LSE:SWG
37GF Score
Shearwater Group PLC LSE:SWG
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Shearwater Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Shearwater Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = £-0.24.

Shearwater Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-0.235+48.123*0.8)/23.819
=1.52

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of £1.52 mean?
Shearwater Group (LSE:SWG) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of £1.52 as of Sep. 03, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Shearwater Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Shearwater Group ranks #105 out of 1474 companies in the Software industry, placing it in the top 7.1%.
Is Shearwater Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Shearwater Group's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is £1.52. Based on the distribution chart, Shearwater Group ranks #105 out of 1474 companies in the Software industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Shearwater Group has a GF Score™ of 37/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Shearwater Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to MSFT and PLTR?
According to the Software industry distribution chart, Shearwater Group ranks #105 out of 1474 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Shearwater Group in the top 7% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.44. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Software company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Software companies is 1.44, based on 1,474 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Shearwater Group and its competitors. For the Software industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.44 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Shearwater Group's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is £1.52. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Shearwater Group stock overvalued right now?
Shearwater Group (LSE:SWG) has a current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of £1.52. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is £1.52. Shearwater Group's overall GF Score™ is 37/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Shearwater Group (LSE:SWG), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is £1.52 as of Sep. 03, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Shearwater Group Business Description

Address 32 Threadneedle Street, London, GBR, EC2R 8AY
Shearwater Group PLC is a UK-based company focused on providing digital resilience solutions. The company delivers cybersecurity, network monitoring technologies, managed security services, Data Loss Prevention, Identity & Access Security, IT Solutions, Penetration Testing & Red Teaming, and other services. Its operating segment includes software and services. The company generates maximum revenue from the Services segment. Its geographical segments include the United Kingdom(UK) and Europe(excluding the UK), North America, and the Rest of the world, of which the majority of the revenue is derived from the UK.
37GF Score

Get the complete analysis for LSE:SWG

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

£0.59
Price