MONRF (Moncler SpA) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $53.48 (As of Aug. 07, 2026) — 2266% Above Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

MONRF Moncler SpA MONRF
100 GF Score
Price $58.90
GF Value $65.77
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 1 Warning Sign
View Full Analysis

What is Moncler SpA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Moncler SpA MONRF 100 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $53.48 as of Aug. 07, 2026, which is 2266% above its 10-year median of 2.26. GuruFocus rates MONRF with a GF Score™ of 100/100 and a GF Value™ of $65.77 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 766 Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories companies, Moncler SpA ranks worse than 64.49% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-08-07), Moncler SpA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $53.48. The stock price of Moncler SpA is $58.90. Therefore, Moncler SpA's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for Moncler SpA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

MONRF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.1   Med: 2.26   Max: 2.73
Current: 1.1

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Moncler SpA was 2.73. The lowest was 1.10. And the median was 2.26.

MONRF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
64.49% of 766 companies
in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry
Industry Median: 0.81 vs MONRF: 1.10

Moncler SpA  (OTCPK:MONRF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Moncler SpA's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=58.90/50.46066114666
=1.17

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Moncler SpA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Moncler SpA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Moncler SpA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Moncler SpA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Moncler SpA Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 30.79 32.57 39.69 44.88 55.48

Moncler SpA Semi-Annual Data
Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 44.88 0.00 55.48 0.00

MONRF vs RL, LEVI, VFC: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Apparel Manufacturing subindustry, Moncler SpA's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Moncler SpA Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories Industry

For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Moncler SpA's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Moncler SpA's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


MONRF
100GF Score
Moncler SpA MONRF
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Moncler SpA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Moncler SpA's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $679.02.

Moncler SpA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec25)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*679.023+4507.838*0.8)/271.466
=50.46

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $53.48 mean?
Moncler SpA (MONRF) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $53.48 as of Aug. 07, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Moncler SpA and its competitors. This is 2266% above median its historical median of 2.26. Over the past decade, Moncler SpA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 1.10 to 2.73. According to the industry distribution chart, Moncler SpA ranks #494 out of 766 companies in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry, placing it in the top 64.5%.
Is Moncler SpA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Moncler SpA's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $53.48 is 2266% above median its 10-year median of 2.26. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.10 to a high of 2.73. The Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.81. Moncler SpA's value of $53.48 is 6502.5% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Moncler SpA ranks #494 out of 766 companies in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Moncler SpA has a GF Score™ of 100/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Moncler SpA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to RL and LEVI?
According to the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry distribution chart, Moncler SpA ranks #494 out of 766 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Moncler SpA in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.81. Moncler SpA's value of $53.48 is 6502.5% above this benchmark. Historically, Moncler SpA's own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 1.10 to 2.73 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 2.26 vs. the industry median of 0.81, Moncler SpA has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories companies is 0.81, based on 766 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Moncler SpA's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $53.48 is 6502.5% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Moncler SpA and its competitors. For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.81 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Moncler SpA's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $53.48, which is 2266% above median its own 10-year median of 2.26. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Moncler SpA stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Moncler SpA (MONRF) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $65.77, compared to a current price of $58.90 — trading 10.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $53.48, which is 2266% above median its 10-year median of 2.26 and 6502.5% above the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry median of 0.81. Moncler SpA's overall GF Score™ is 100/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Moncler SpA (MONRF), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $53.48 as of Aug. 07, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Moncler SpA (MONRF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Moncler SpA stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $58.90 is trading 10.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of $65.77. GuruFocus considers Moncler SpA to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for MONRF:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $53.48 (2266% above median its 10-year median of 2.26)
  • GF Value™: $65.77 vs. price of $58.90 (10.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 100/100 with 1 warning sign
  • Industry Position: 6502.5% above the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories median (#494 of 766)

No single metric tells the full story. See the MONRF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Moncler SpA Business Description

Address Via Stendhal 47, Milan, ITA, 20144
Moncler consists of its namesake brand and Stone Island (bought in 2021). The Moncler brand is one of the leading players in luxury outerwear. It is globally present with 35% of sales generated in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa, 15% in the Americas, and 50% in Asia and rest of the world. Most of Moncler brand sales are direct to consumer, with 86% generated through the own-retail channel. Around 75%-80% of revenue is generated in the core outerwear segment, with the remainder in the accessory, knitwear, and footwear categories. Stone Island contributed 13% of revenue in 2024.
100GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MONRF

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$58.90
Price
$65.77
GF Value