NNFSF (Nongfu Spring Co) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $1.95 (As of Aug. 29, 2026)

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NNFSF Nongfu Spring Co Ltd NNFSF
87 GF Score
Price $5.46
GF Value $7.96
Valuation Significantly Undervalued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Nongfu Spring Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Nongfu Spring Co NNFSF 87 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.95 as of Aug. 29, 2026. GuruFocus rates NNFSF with a GF Score™ of 87/100 and a GF Value™ of $7.96 (Significantly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 76 Beverages - Non-Alcoholic companies, Nongfu Spring Co ranks worse than 85.53% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-08-29), Nongfu Spring Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.95. The stock price of Nongfu Spring Co is $5.46. Therefore, Nongfu Spring Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for Nongfu Spring Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

NNFSF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.8   Med: 3.02   Max: 3.93
Current: 2.8

During the past 9 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Nongfu Spring Co was 3.93. The lowest was 2.80. And the median was 3.02.

NNFSF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
85.53% of 76 companies
in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry
Industry Median: 1.255 vs NNFSF: 2.80

Nongfu Spring Co  (OTCPK:NNFSF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Nongfu Spring Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=5.46/1.9919519366014
=2.74

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Nongfu Spring Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Nongfu Spring Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Nongfu Spring Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Nongfu Spring Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Nongfu Spring Co Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 1.45 1.58 2.12

Nongfu Spring Co Semi-Annual Data
Dec17 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.45 0.00 1.58 0.00 2.12

NNFSF vs KO, PEP, MNST: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic subindustry, Nongfu Spring Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nongfu Spring Co Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Nongfu Spring Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nongfu Spring Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


NNFSF
87GF Score
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd NNFSF
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Nongfu Spring Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Nongfu Spring Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $1,205.92.

Nongfu Spring Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec25)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*1205.9197142857+5603.984*0.8)/11248.441
=1.99

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $1.95 mean?
Nongfu Spring Co (NNFSF) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $1.95 as of Aug. 29, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Nongfu Spring Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Nongfu Spring Co ranks #65 out of 76 companies in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry, placing it in the top 85.5%.
Is Nongfu Spring Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Nongfu Spring Co's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.95. The Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.26. Nongfu Spring Co's value of $1.95 is 55.4% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Nongfu Spring Co ranks #65 out of 76 companies in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Nongfu Spring Co has a GF Score™ of 87/100 and is considered Significantly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Nongfu Spring Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to KO and PEP?
According to the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry distribution chart, Nongfu Spring Co ranks #65 out of 76 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Nongfu Spring Co in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.26. Nongfu Spring Co's value of $1.95 is 55.4% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Beverages - Non-Alcoholic company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Beverages - Non-Alcoholic companies is 1.26, based on 76 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Nongfu Spring Co's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $1.95 is 55.4% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Nongfu Spring Co and its competitors. For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.26 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Nongfu Spring Co's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.95. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Nongfu Spring Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nongfu Spring Co (NNFSF) is currently considered Significantly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $7.96, compared to a current price of $5.46 — trading 31.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.95 and 55.4% above the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry median of 1.26. Nongfu Spring Co's overall GF Score™ is 87/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Nongfu Spring Co (NNFSF), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.95 as of Aug. 29, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Nongfu Spring Co (NNFSF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nongfu Spring Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $5.46 is trading 31.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of $7.96. GuruFocus considers Nongfu Spring Co to be Significantly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for NNFSF:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $1.95
  • GF Value™: $7.96 vs. price of $5.46 (31.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 87/100 with 2 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 55.4% above the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median (#65 of 76)

No single metric tells the full story. See the NNFSF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Nongfu Spring Co Business Description

Other Exchanges 09633:Hong Kong7NF:Germany
Address No. 181, Geyazhuang, Xihu District, Hangzhou, CHN, 310024
Founded in 1996, Nongfu Spring is a leading beverage producer with products primarily in the packaged water, ready-to-drink tea, juice, coffee, and functional beverages sectors in China. It holds the number-one share in the bottled water market; this segment contributed approximately 40% of the firm's revenue and EBIT in 2024.
87GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NNFSF

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$5.46
Price
$7.96
GF Value