OBDC (Blue Owl Capital) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $18.60 (As of Sep. 22, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

OBDC Blue Owl Capital Corp OBDC
60 GF Score
Price $11.18
GF Value $11.95
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 7 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Blue Owl Capital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Blue Owl Capital OBDC -0.13% 60 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $18.60 as of Sep. 22, 2026. GuruFocus rates OBDC with a GF Score™ of 60/100 and a GF Value™ of $11.95 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,217 Asset Management companies, Blue Owl Capital ranks better than 70.83% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-09-22), Blue Owl Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $18.60. The stock price of Blue Owl Capital is $11.175. Therefore, Blue Owl Capital's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Blue Owl Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

OBDC' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.58   Med: 1.49   Max: 15.76
Current: 0.6

During the past 10 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Blue Owl Capital was 15.76. The lowest was 0.58. And the median was 1.49.

OBDC's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
70.83% of 1217 companies
in the Asset Management industry
Industry Median: 0.89 vs OBDC: 0.60

Blue Owl Capital  (NYSE:OBDC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Blue Owl Capital's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=11.175/22.054386596938
=0.51

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Blue Owl Capital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Blue Owl Capital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Blue Owl Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Blue Owl Capital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Blue Owl Capital Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 10.49 18.80 28.85 25.90

Blue Owl Capital Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - 22.15

OBDC vs MAIN, BXSL, OTF: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Asset Management subindustry, Blue Owl Capital's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Blue Owl Capital Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Blue Owl Capital's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Blue Owl Capital's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


OBDC
60GF Score
Blue Owl Capital Corp OBDC
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Blue Owl Capital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Blue Owl Capital's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $495.47.

Blue Owl Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(10.696602726433*495.46864+7031.759*0.8)/495.377115
=22.05

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $18.60 mean?
Blue Owl Capital (OBDC) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $18.60 as of Sep. 22, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Blue Owl Capital and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Blue Owl Capital ranks #355 out of 1217 companies in the Asset Management industry, placing it in the top 29.2%.
Is Blue Owl Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Blue Owl Capital's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $18.60. The Asset Management industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.89. Blue Owl Capital's value of $18.60 is 1989.9% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Blue Owl Capital ranks #355 out of 1217 companies in the Asset Management industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Blue Owl Capital has a GF Score™ of 60/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Blue Owl Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to MAIN and BXSL?
According to the Asset Management industry distribution chart, Blue Owl Capital ranks #355 out of 1217 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This puts Blue Owl Capital in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.89. Blue Owl Capital's value of $18.60 is 1989.9% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for an Asset Management company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Asset Management companies is 0.89, based on 1,217 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Blue Owl Capital's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $18.60 is 1989.9% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Blue Owl Capital and its competitors. For the Asset Management industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.89 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Blue Owl Capital's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $18.60. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Blue Owl Capital stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Blue Owl Capital (OBDC) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $11.95, compared to a current price of $11.18 — trading 6.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $18.60 and 1989.9% above the Asset Management industry median of 0.89. Blue Owl Capital's overall GF Score™ is 60/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Blue Owl Capital (OBDC), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $18.60 as of Sep. 22, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Blue Owl Capital (OBDC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Blue Owl Capital stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $11.18 is trading 6.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of $11.95. GuruFocus considers Blue Owl Capital to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for OBDC:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $18.60
  • GF Value™: $11.95 vs. price of $11.18 (6.5% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 60/100 with 7 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 1989.9% above the Asset Management median (#355 of 1217)

No single metric tells the full story. See the OBDC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Blue Owl Capital Business Description

Other Exchanges 1D6:Germany
Address 399 Park Avenue, New York, NY, USA, 10022
Blue Owl Capital Corp is a U.S. business development company that provides direct lending and other financing solutions to middle-market companies, primarily in the United States. The company invests mainly in senior secured loans, with smaller allocations to subordinated and mezzanine debt and equity-related instruments, targeting businesses with favorable risk-adjusted return potential. Its portfolio spans a broad range of industries, and its borrowers are typically private, sponsor-backed middle-market firms seeking capital for acquisitions, refinancings, growth, or recapitalizations. As a BDC, Blue Owl Capital Corp generates revenue primarily through interest income on its debt investments, supplemented by fees, dividends, and capital gains from equity or equity-linked holdings. It is externally managed by an affiliate of Blue Owl Capital, which handles sourcing, underwriting, and portfolio management. The company emphasizes credit quality and capital preservation across credit cycles.
60GF Score

Get the complete analysis for OBDC

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$11.18
Price
$11.95
GF Value