OBDC (Blue Owl Capital) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 13.41% (As of Jun. 2026)

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Vera Yuan
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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

OBDC Blue Owl Capital Corp OBDC
60 GF Score
Price $11.28
GF Value $11.92
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Blue Owl Capital Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Blue Owl Capital OBDC +0.27% 60 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 13.41% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus rates OBDC with a GF Score™ of 60/100 and a GF Value™ of $11.92 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,175 Asset Management companies, Blue Owl Capital ranks better than 74.89% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Blue Owl Capital's forward rate of return for was 13.41%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Blue Owl Capital's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

OBDC' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -25.27   Med: -13.27   Max: 13.56
Current: 12.95

During the past 10 years, Blue Owl Capital's highest Forward Rate of Return was 13.56. The lowest was -25.27. And the median was -13.27.

OBDC's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
74.89% of 1175 companies
in the Asset Management industry
Industry Median: 4.38 vs OBDC: 12.95

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Blue Owl Capital  (NYSE:OBDC) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Blue Owl Capital Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Blue Owl Capital Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Blue Owl Capital's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Blue Owl Capital Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Blue Owl Capital Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -17.42 -18.91 -13.69 -4.18 4.08

Blue Owl Capital Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.61 -0.79 4.08 10.64 13.41

OBDC vs BXSL, MAIN, HASI: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Asset Management subindustry, Blue Owl Capital's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Blue Owl Capital Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Blue Owl Capital's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Blue Owl Capital's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


OBDC
60GF Score
Blue Owl Capital Corp OBDC
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Blue Owl Capital Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Blue Owl Capital's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2026 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year Book Value Growth Rate
=1.484/10.87+-0.0024
=13.41 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 13.41% mean?
Blue Owl Capital (OBDC) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 13.41% as of Jun. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Blue Owl Capital and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Blue Owl Capital ranks #295 out of 1175 companies in the Asset Management industry, placing it in the top 25.1%.
Is Blue Owl Capital's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Blue Owl Capital's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 13.41%. The Asset Management industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 4.38. Blue Owl Capital's value of 13.41% is 206.2% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Blue Owl Capital ranks #295 out of 1175 companies in the Asset Management industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Blue Owl Capital has a GF Score™ of 60/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Blue Owl Capital's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to BXSL and MAIN?
According to the Asset Management industry distribution chart, Blue Owl Capital ranks #295 out of 1175 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This puts Blue Owl Capital in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 4.38. Blue Owl Capital's value of 13.41% is 206.2% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for an Asset Management company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Asset Management companies is 4.38, based on 1,175 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Blue Owl Capital's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 13.41% is 206.2% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Blue Owl Capital and its competitors. For the Asset Management industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 4.38 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Blue Owl Capital's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 13.41%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Blue Owl Capital stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Blue Owl Capital (OBDC) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $11.92, compared to a current price of $11.28 — trading 5.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 13.41% and 206.2% above the Asset Management industry median of 4.38. Blue Owl Capital's overall GF Score™ is 60/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Blue Owl Capital (OBDC), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 13.41% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Blue Owl Capital (OBDC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Blue Owl Capital stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $11.28 is trading 5.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of $11.92. GuruFocus considers Blue Owl Capital to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for OBDC:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 13.41%
  • GF Value™: $11.92 vs. price of $11.28 (5.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 60/100 with 6 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 206.2% above the Asset Management median (#295 of 1175)

No single metric tells the full story. See the OBDC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Blue Owl Capital Business Description

Other Exchanges 1D6:Germany
Address 399 Park Avenue, New York, NY, USA, 10022
Blue Owl Capital Corp is a specialty finance company and business development company (BDC) focused on providing direct lending solutions to U.S. middle-market companies. The company seeks to generate current income and, to a lesser extent, capital appreciation by targeting investment opportunities with favorable risk-adjusted returns, including senior secured, subordinated, or mezzanine loans and equity-related instruments. Its investment strategies are intended to generate favorable returns across credit cycles with an emphasis on preserving capital.
60GF Score

Get the complete analysis for OBDC

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$11.28
Price
$11.92
GF Value