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OricaOCLDY 73 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $8.68 as of Aug. 01, 2026, which is 507% above its 10-year median of 1.43. GuruFocus rates OCLDY with a GF Score™ of 73/100 and a GF Value™ of $12.05 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,142 Chemicals companies, Orica ranks worse than 64.89% on this metric.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2026-08-01), Orica's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $8.68. The stock price of Orica is $17.00. Therefore, Orica's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.0.
The historical rank and industry rank for Orica's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
OCLDY'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.15 Med: 1.43 Max: 1.96
Current: 1.96
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Orica was 1.96. The lowest was 1.15. And the median was 1.43.
OCLDY's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than 64.89% of 1142
companies
in the Chemicals industry
Industry Median: 1.275
vs OCLDY: 1.96
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Orica's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
17.00
/
7.7133378799037
=
2.20
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Orica Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Orica Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Orica's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
OCLDY vs LIN, SHW, ECL: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison
For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, Orica's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Orica Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Chemicals Industry
For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Orica's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Orica's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $8.68 mean?
Orica (OCLDY) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $8.68 as of Aug. 01, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Orica and its competitors. This is 507% above median its historical median of 1.43. Over the past decade, Orica's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 1.15 to 1.96. According to the industry distribution chart, Orica ranks #741 out of 1142 companies in the Chemicals industry, placing it in the top 64.9%.
Is Orica's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Orica's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $8.68 is 507% above median its 10-year median of 1.43. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.15 to a high of 1.96. The Chemicals industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.28. Orica's value of $8.68 is 580.8% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Orica ranks #741 out of 1142 companies in the Chemicals industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Orica has a GF Score™ of 73/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Orica's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to LIN and SHW?
According to the Chemicals industry distribution chart, Orica ranks #741 out of 1142 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Orica in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.28. Orica's value of $8.68 is 580.8% above this benchmark. Historically, Orica's own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 1.15 to 1.96 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.43 vs. the industry median of 1.28, Orica has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Chemicals company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Chemicals companies is 1.28, based on 1,142 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Orica's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $8.68 is 580.8% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Orica and its competitors. For the Chemicals industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.28 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Orica's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $8.68, which is 507% above median its own 10-year median of 1.43. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Orica stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Orica (OCLDY) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $12.05, compared to a current price of $17.00 — trading 41.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $8.68, which is 507% above median its 10-year median of 1.43 and 580.8% above the Chemicals industry median of 1.28. Orica's overall GF Score™ is 73/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Orica (OCLDY), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $8.68 as of Aug. 01, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Orica (OCLDY) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Orica stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $17.00 is trading 41.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of $12.05.
GuruFocus considers Orica to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for OCLDY:
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $8.68 (507% above median its 10-year median of 1.43)
GF Value™: $12.05 vs. price of $17.00 (41.1% above fair value)
Industry Position: 580.8% above the Chemicals median (#741 of 1142)
No single metric tells the full story. See the OCLDY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Orica is a leading global manufacturer and supplier of explosives and chemicals, primarily to the mining industry. It has operations in around 50 countries across six continents. Blasting solutions to the mining industry is the chief earnings engine. Orica has an approximate 28% share of the global commercial explosives market. It provided resins, steel bolts, and other products for underground mining and tunneling though this business is now sold. It also supplies chemicals such as sodium cyanide to the mining industry.
73GF Score
Get the complete analysis for OCLDY
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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