Central Azucarera De Tarlac (PHS:CAT) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: ₱34.74 (As of Aug. 09, 2026) — 4659% Above Median

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PHS:CAT Central Azucarera De Tarlac Inc PHS:CAT
77 GF Score
Price ₱9.60
GF Value ₱11.94
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Central Azucarera De Tarlac Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Central Azucarera De Tarlac PHS:CAT -1.03% 77 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₱34.74 as of Aug. 09, 2026, which is 100% below its 10-year median of 0.73. GuruFocus rates PHS:CAT with a GF Score™ of 77/100 and a GF Value™ of ₱11.94 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,123 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, Central Azucarera De Tarlac ranks better than 93.32% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-08-09), Central Azucarera De Tarlac's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₱34.74. The stock price of Central Azucarera De Tarlac is ₱9.60. Therefore, Central Azucarera De Tarlac's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Central Azucarera De Tarlac's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

PHS:CAT' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.21   Med: 0.73   Max: 2.1
Current: 0.28

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Central Azucarera De Tarlac was 2.10. The lowest was 0.21. And the median was 0.73.

PHS:CAT's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
93.32% of 1123 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 0.95 vs PHS:CAT: 0.28

Central Azucarera De Tarlac  (PHS:CAT) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Central Azucarera De Tarlac's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=9.60/34.73629578039
=0.28

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Central Azucarera De Tarlac Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Central Azucarera De Tarlac Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Central Azucarera De Tarlac's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Central Azucarera De Tarlac Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Central Azucarera De Tarlac Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 29.22 17.46 21.70 50.87 42.31

Central Azucarera De Tarlac Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 37.48 42.31 38.97 36.19 34.74

PHS:CAT vs MDLZ, HSY, TR: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Confectioners subindustry, Central Azucarera De Tarlac's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Central Azucarera De Tarlac Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Central Azucarera De Tarlac's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Central Azucarera De Tarlac's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


PHS:CAT
77GF Score
Central Azucarera De Tarlac Inc PHS:CAT
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Central Azucarera De Tarlac Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Central Azucarera De Tarlac's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = ₱493.15.

Central Azucarera De Tarlac's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5858149152102*493.15136+4446.469*0.8)/238.495
=34.74

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of ₱34.74 mean?
Central Azucarera De Tarlac (PHS:CAT) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of ₱34.74 as of Aug. 09, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Central Azucarera De Tarlac and its competitors. This is 4659% above median its historical median of 0.73. Over the past decade, Central Azucarera De Tarlac's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.21 to 2.10. According to the industry distribution chart, Central Azucarera De Tarlac ranks #75 out of 1123 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 6.7%.
Is Central Azucarera De Tarlac's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Central Azucarera De Tarlac's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of ₱34.74 is 4659% above median its 10-year median of 0.73. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.21 to a high of 2.10. Based on the distribution chart, Central Azucarera De Tarlac ranks #75 out of 1123 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Central Azucarera De Tarlac has a GF Score™ of 77/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Central Azucarera De Tarlac's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to MDLZ and HSY?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, Central Azucarera De Tarlac ranks #75 out of 1123 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Central Azucarera De Tarlac in the top 7% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.95. Historically, Central Azucarera De Tarlac's own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.21 to 2.10 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Consumer Packaged Goods companies is 0.95, based on 1,123 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Central Azucarera De Tarlac and its competitors. For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.95 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Central Azucarera De Tarlac's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₱34.74, which is 4659% above median its own 10-year median of 0.73. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Central Azucarera De Tarlac stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Central Azucarera De Tarlac (PHS:CAT) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₱11.94, compared to a current price of ₱9.60 — trading 19.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₱34.74, which is 4659% above median its 10-year median of 0.73. Central Azucarera De Tarlac's overall GF Score™ is 77/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Central Azucarera De Tarlac (PHS:CAT), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₱34.74 as of Aug. 09, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Central Azucarera De Tarlac (PHS:CAT) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Central Azucarera De Tarlac stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ₱9.60 is trading 19.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of ₱11.94. GuruFocus considers Central Azucarera De Tarlac to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for PHS:CAT:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: ₱34.74 (4659% above median its 10-year median of 0.73)
  • GF Value™: ₱11.94 vs. price of ₱9.60 (19.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 77/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the PHS:CAT stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Central Azucarera De Tarlac Business Description

Address San Miguel, Tarlac, PHL, 1231
Central Azucarera De Tarlac Inc is a company engaged in the business of sugar milling. It engages in the production of raw and refined sugar, alcohol, liquid carbon dioxide and yeast. It operates through the following segments: Sugar and by-Products, Real estate and Industrial services. The Sugar and by-Products segment involve the production of sugar and sugar by-products. Real estate and Industrial services include developing, leasing and selling real properties and other ancillary services. The Sugar and By-Products segment accounts majorly in the firm's revenue while it principally operates in the Philippines.
77GF Score

Get the complete analysis for PHS:CAT

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₱9.60
Price
₱11.94
GF Value