Mabuhay Vinyl (PHS:MVC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: ₱8.13 (As of Jul. 22, 2026) — 1113% Above Median

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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PHS:MVC Mabuhay Vinyl Corp PHS:MVC
92 GF Score
Price ₱5.23
GF Value ₱5.59
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Mabuhay Vinyl Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Mabuhay Vinyl PHS:MVC 92 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₱8.13 as of Jul. 22, 2026, which is 100% below its 10-year median of 0.67. GuruFocus rates PHS:MVC with a GF Score™ of 92/100 and a GF Value™ of ₱5.59 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,144 Chemicals companies, Mabuhay Vinyl ranks better than 76.66% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-07-22), Mabuhay Vinyl's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₱8.13. The stock price of Mabuhay Vinyl is ₱5.23. Therefore, Mabuhay Vinyl's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Mabuhay Vinyl's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

PHS:MVC' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.41   Med: 0.67   Max: 1.27
Current: 0.64

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Mabuhay Vinyl was 1.27. The lowest was 0.41. And the median was 0.67.

PHS:MVC's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
76.66% of 1144 companies
in the Chemicals industry
Industry Median: 1.285 vs PHS:MVC: 0.64

Mabuhay Vinyl  (PHS:MVC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Mabuhay Vinyl's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=5.23/8.132446908139
=0.64

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Mabuhay Vinyl Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Mabuhay Vinyl Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Mabuhay Vinyl's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Mabuhay Vinyl Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Mabuhay Vinyl Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.14 6.85 7.39 7.21 7.30

Mabuhay Vinyl Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.22 6.86 7.31 7.30 8.13

PHS:MVC vs DOW: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Chemicals subindustry, Mabuhay Vinyl's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Mabuhay Vinyl Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Mabuhay Vinyl's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mabuhay Vinyl's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


PHS:MVC
92GF Score
Mabuhay Vinyl Corp PHS:MVC
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Mabuhay Vinyl Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Mabuhay Vinyl's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = ₱156.11.

Mabuhay Vinyl's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(11.936106726364*156.11264+4393.354*0.8)/661.309
=8.13

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of ₱8.13 mean?
Mabuhay Vinyl (PHS:MVC) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of ₱8.13 as of Jul. 22, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Mabuhay Vinyl and its competitors. This is 1113% above median its historical median of 0.67. Over the past decade, Mabuhay Vinyl's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.41 to 1.27. According to the industry distribution chart, Mabuhay Vinyl ranks #267 out of 1144 companies in the Chemicals industry, placing it in the top 23.3%.
Is Mabuhay Vinyl's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Mabuhay Vinyl's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of ₱8.13 is 1113% above median its 10-year median of 0.67. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.41 to a high of 1.27. Based on the distribution chart, Mabuhay Vinyl ranks #267 out of 1144 companies in the Chemicals industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Mabuhay Vinyl has a GF Score™ of 92/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Mabuhay Vinyl's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to DOW?
According to the Chemicals industry distribution chart, Mabuhay Vinyl ranks #267 out of 1144 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Mabuhay Vinyl in the top 23% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.29. Historically, Mabuhay Vinyl's own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.41 to 1.27 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Chemicals company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Chemicals companies is 1.29, based on 1,144 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Mabuhay Vinyl and its competitors. For the Chemicals industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.29 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Mabuhay Vinyl's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₱8.13, which is 1113% above median its own 10-year median of 0.67. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Mabuhay Vinyl stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Mabuhay Vinyl (PHS:MVC) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₱5.59, compared to a current price of ₱5.23 — trading 6.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₱8.13, which is 1113% above median its 10-year median of 0.67. Mabuhay Vinyl's overall GF Score™ is 92/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Mabuhay Vinyl (PHS:MVC), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₱8.13 as of Jul. 22, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Mabuhay Vinyl (PHS:MVC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Mabuhay Vinyl stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ₱5.23 is trading 6.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of ₱5.59. GuruFocus considers Mabuhay Vinyl to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for PHS:MVC:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: ₱8.13 (1113% above median its 10-year median of 0.67)
  • GF Value™: ₱5.59 vs. price of ₱5.23 (6.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 92/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the PHS:MVC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Mabuhay Vinyl Business Description

Address 169 H.V. Dela Costa Street, 22nd Floor, The Salcedo Towers, Salcedo Village, Barangay Bel-Air, Makati City, PHL, 1227
Mabuhay Vinyl Corp is a Chlor-Alkali chemical producer. It focuses on manufacturing and distributing basic and intermediate chemicals. Some of its products are caustic soda, hydrochloric acid, sodium hypochlorite, and chlorine, which are widely used in diversified industries. The group considers the manufacturing and distribution of basic and intermediate chemicals as its business activity and only operating segment.
92GF Score

Get the complete analysis for PHS:MVC

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₱5.23
Price
₱5.59
GF Value