PMRTY (Pop Mart International Group) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $5.81 (As of Sep. 01, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

PMRTY Pop Mart International Group Ltd PMRTY
71 GF Score
Price $19.71
GF Value $31.55
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 1 Warning Sign
View Full Analysis

What is Pop Mart International Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Pop Mart International Group PMRTY -0.38% 71 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $5.81 as of Sep. 01, 2026. GuruFocus rates PMRTY with a GF Score™ of 71/100 and a GF Value™ of $31.55 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 594 Travel & Leisure companies, Pop Mart International Group ranks worse than 85.86% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-09-01), Pop Mart International Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $5.81. The stock price of Pop Mart International Group is $19.705. Therefore, Pop Mart International Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 3.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for Pop Mart International Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

PMRTY' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.77   Med: 4.15   Max: 4.32
Current: 3.39

During the past 9 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Pop Mart International Group was 4.32. The lowest was 1.77. And the median was 4.15.

PMRTY's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
85.86% of 594 companies
in the Travel & Leisure industry
Industry Median: 0.925 vs PMRTY: 3.39

Pop Mart International Group  (OTCPK:PMRTY) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Pop Mart International Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=19.705/5.8570936849638
=3.36

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Pop Mart International Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Pop Mart International Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Pop Mart International Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Pop Mart International Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Pop Mart International Group Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.55 5.76

Pop Mart International Group Semi-Annual Data
Dec17 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 2.55 0.00 5.76 0.00

PMRTY vs AS, HAS, LTH: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Leisure subindustry, Pop Mart International Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Pop Mart International Group Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Pop Mart International Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Pop Mart International Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


PMRTY
71GF Score
Pop Mart International Group Ltd PMRTY
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Pop Mart International Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Pop Mart International Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $355.11.

Pop Mart International Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec25)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*355.11457142857+3163.013*0.8)/1333.145
=5.86

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $5.81 mean?
Pop Mart International Group (PMRTY) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $5.81 as of Sep. 01, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Pop Mart International Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Pop Mart International Group ranks #510 out of 594 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, placing it in the top 85.9%.
Is Pop Mart International Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Pop Mart International Group's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $5.81. The Travel & Leisure industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.93. Pop Mart International Group's value of $5.81 is 528.1% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Pop Mart International Group ranks #510 out of 594 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Pop Mart International Group has a GF Score™ of 71/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Pop Mart International Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to AS and HAS?
According to the Travel & Leisure industry distribution chart, Pop Mart International Group ranks #510 out of 594 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Pop Mart International Group in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.93. Pop Mart International Group's value of $5.81 is 528.1% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Travel & Leisure company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Travel & Leisure companies is 0.93, based on 594 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Pop Mart International Group's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $5.81 is 528.1% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Pop Mart International Group and its competitors. For the Travel & Leisure industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.93 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Pop Mart International Group's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $5.81. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Pop Mart International Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Pop Mart International Group (PMRTY) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is $31.55, compared to a current price of $19.71 — trading 37.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $5.81 and 528.1% above the Travel & Leisure industry median of 0.93. Pop Mart International Group's overall GF Score™ is 71/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Pop Mart International Group (PMRTY), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $5.81 as of Sep. 01, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Pop Mart International Group (PMRTY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Pop Mart International Group stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $19.71 is trading 37.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of $31.55. GuruFocus considers Pop Mart International Group to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for PMRTY:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $5.81
  • GF Value™: $31.55 vs. price of $19.71 (37.5% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 71/100 with 1 warning sign
  • Industry Position: 528.1% above the Travel & Leisure median (#510 of 594)

No single metric tells the full story. See the PMRTY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Pop Mart International Group Business Description

Other Exchanges 09992:Hong Kong735:Germany
Address Hongtai East Street, Floor 36 and 37, Block A, Puxiang Center, Dawangjing Technology Business Park, Chaoyang District, Beijing, CHN, 100102
Pop Mart was founded in 2010 by entrepreneur Wang Ning and his partners to design, create, and sell pop culture toys based on intellectual properties, or IPs. The company develops toy products by acquiring and self-incubating IPs, as well as collaborating with IP owners through exclusive and nonexclusive licensing agreements. Its products have seen widespread popularity in China and have gained traction in overseas markets, such as Southeast Asia and North America. To diversify its revenue streams, Pop Mart has also tapped into accessories, home appliances, food merchandising, and theme park operations.
71GF Score

Get the complete analysis for PMRTY

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$19.71
Price
$31.55
GF Value