PSMMF (Persimmon) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $24.92 (As of Aug. 26, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

PSMMF Persimmon PLC PSMMF
67 GF Score
Price $15.26
GF Value $20.33
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Persimmon Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Persimmon PSMMF 67 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $24.92 as of Aug. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates PSMMF with a GF Score™ of 67/100 and a GF Value™ of $20.33. The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 70 Homebuilding & Construction companies, Persimmon ranks better than 58.57% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-08-26), Persimmon's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $24.92. The stock price of Persimmon is $15.2625. Therefore, Persimmon's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Persimmon's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

PSMMF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.43   Med: 0.76   Max: 1.02
Current: 0.61

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Persimmon was 1.02. The lowest was 0.43. And the median was 0.76.

PSMMF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
58.57% of 70 companies
in the Homebuilding & Construction industry
Industry Median: 0.76 vs PSMMF: 0.61

Persimmon  (OTCPK:PSMMF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Persimmon's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=15.2625/24.932208287368
=0.61

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Persimmon Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Persimmon Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Persimmon's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Persimmon Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Persimmon Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 37.77 33.08 26.46 26.56 23.32

Persimmon Semi-Annual Data
Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 26.56 0.00 23.32 0.00

PSMMF vs DHI, PHM, LEN: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Residential Construction subindustry, Persimmon's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Persimmon Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Homebuilding & Construction Industry

For the Homebuilding & Construction industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Persimmon's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Persimmon's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


PSMMF
67GF Score
Persimmon PLC PSMMF
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Persimmon Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Persimmon's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $441.43.

Persimmon's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec25)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*441.42557142857+4838.153*0.8)/323.800
=24.93

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $24.92 mean?
Persimmon (PSMMF) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $24.92 as of Aug. 26, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Persimmon and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Persimmon ranks #29 out of 70 companies in the Homebuilding & Construction industry, placing it in the top 41.4%.
Is Persimmon's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Persimmon's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $24.92. The Homebuilding & Construction industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.76. Persimmon's value of $24.92 is 3178.9% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Persimmon ranks #29 out of 70 companies in the Homebuilding & Construction industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Persimmon has a GF Score™ of 67/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Persimmon's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to DHI and PHM?
According to the Homebuilding & Construction industry distribution chart, Persimmon ranks #29 out of 70 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This puts Persimmon in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.76. Persimmon's value of $24.92 is 3178.9% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Homebuilding & Construction company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Homebuilding & Construction companies is 0.76, based on 70 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Persimmon's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $24.92 is 3178.9% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Persimmon and its competitors. For the Homebuilding & Construction industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.76 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Persimmon's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $24.92. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Persimmon stock overvalued right now?
Persimmon (PSMMF) has a current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $24.92. The stock's GF Value™ is $20.33, compared to a current price of $15.26 — trading 24.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $24.92 and 3178.9% above the Homebuilding & Construction industry median of 0.76. Persimmon's overall GF Score™ is 67/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Persimmon (PSMMF), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $24.92 as of Aug. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Persimmon (PSMMF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Persimmon stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $15.26 is trading 24.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of $20.33.

Key valuation signals for PSMMF:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $24.92
  • GF Value™: $20.33 vs. price of $15.26 (24.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 67/100 with 3 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 3178.9% above the Homebuilding & Construction median (#29 of 70)

No single metric tells the full story. See the PSMMF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Persimmon Business Description

Address Persimmon House, Fulford, York, GBR, YO19 4FE
Persimmon is one of the UK's largest residential property developers by revenue and dwelling completions, marketing homes under its three brands: Persimmon Homes, Charles Church, and Westbury Partnerships. Persimmon distinguishes itself from peers by operating in the lower-priced segment of the new-build market; Persimmon Homes' average selling price in 2024 was 20% below the UK new-build national average. Like peers, Persimmon has traditionally operated in the land development, construction, and sales and marketing segments of the residential property development value chain. However, unlike peers, in recent years, Persimmon has begun manufacturing its own bricks, tiles, and timber frames, aiming to secure the supply and quality of key materials and manage build cost inflation.
67GF Score

Get the complete analysis for PSMMF

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$15.26
Price
$20.33
GF Value